Feature: Economic Scenario Modeling

[C00ldudeNoonan]

Original labels: P4-roadmap

Overview

Enable users to model "what-if" economic scenarios and understand potential market impacts.

Why This Matters

From feature roadmap vision: Allow users to explore hypothetical scenarios like "What if inflation hits 5%?" or "What happens if the Fed cuts rates 100bps?"

This transforms passive data consumption into active strategic planning.

Proposed Features

• Scenario builder UI (adjust key variables)
• Historical analogue matching ("find similar periods")
• Impact projections based on historical correlations
• Side-by-side scenario comparison
• Save and share scenarios
• Pre-built scenarios (recession, soft landing, stagflation)

Example Use Cases

• "If CPI stays above 4% for 6 months, how have equities performed historically?"
• "Model a 2008-style credit crisis - what indicators would flash first?"
• "Compare current conditions to 1970s stagflation"

Implementation Considerations

• Historical data analysis engine
• Scenario state management
• Visualization of projected outcomes
• Confidence intervals / uncertainty ranges

Priority

Medium - advanced feature for power users

---

Migrated from C00ldudeNoonan/economic-data-project-full#90

[C00ldudeNoonan]

Triage note: like #57, the scenario-builder UI framing predates the pivot away from a frontend. The durable core is data-side: historical analogue matching and correlation-based impact projection, which could build on economic_regime_classification and indicator_market_response. Recommend reframing to an agent-facing capability or closing.