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| 1 | +# WeatherNext 2 |
| 2 | +[**Overview**](#overview) | [**Use Cases**](#use-cases) | [**Documentation**](#documentation) | [**Pricing**](#pricing) | [**Quick start**](#quick-start) |
| 3 | + |
| 4 | +## Overview |
| 5 | +**Disclaimer:** |
| 6 | + |
| 7 | +*Experimental*\ |
| 8 | +This product is subject to the "Pre-GA Offerings Terms" in the General Service Terms section of the [Service Specific Terms](https://cloud.google.com/terms/service-terms#1). Pre-GA products are available "as is" and might have limited support. For more information, see the [launch stage descriptions](https://cloud.google.com/products#product-launch-stages). <!-- disableFinding(LINE_OVER_80) --> |
| 9 | + |
| 10 | +Access to the forecasting capabilities requires application and approval. Users must be added to an allowlist to generate forecasts using this service. Review pricing details at [Vertex AI Custom Training pricing,](https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai/pricing?hl=en&e=48754805#custom-trained-models) [Cloud Storage pricing](https://cloud.google.com/storage/pricing), and use the [Pricing Calculator](https://cloud.google.com/products/calculator/) before running. <!-- disableFinding(LINE_OVER_80) --> |
| 11 | + |
| 12 | +**Overview** |
| 13 | + |
| 14 | +WeatherNext is a family of state-of-the-art AI weather forecasting models from Google DeepMind and Google Research. WeatherNext models are faster and more efficient than traditional physics-based weather models and yield superior forecast reliability. <!-- disableFinding(LINE_OVER_80) --> |
| 15 | + |
| 16 | +WeatherNext 2 |
| 17 | +Generates ensemble forecasts at a spatial resolution of 0.25 degrees. Forecast init times have 6 hour resolution (00z, 06z, 12z, 18z). Forecast lead times have 1 hour resolution and a lead time of 15 days. Additional information on the model is described in "[Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals](https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.10772)”. <!-- disableFinding(LINE_OVER_80) --> |
| 18 | + |
| 19 | +## Use Cases |
| 20 | +**Use Cases** |
| 21 | + |
| 22 | +*What use cases are best for WeatherNext 2?*\ |
| 23 | +WeatherNext 2 offers a fast, high-resolution global medium-range forecasting |
| 24 | +model, serving as a powerful alternative to traditional systems like ECMWF ENS |
| 25 | +or NOAA GEFS. Key applications include medium-range forecasts (15 days), |
| 26 | +predicting severe events like tropical cyclones, feeding data into downstream |
| 27 | +systems such as flood models, and generating large ensembles for comprehensive |
| 28 | +uncertainty quantification |
| 29 | + |
| 30 | +## Documentation |
| 31 | +**Training data** |
| 32 | + |
| 33 | +ECMWF [ERA5](https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era5) (1979-2018) |
| 34 | + |
| 35 | +ECMWF [HRES](https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/set-i) |
| 36 | + |
| 37 | +NOAA [IBTrACS](https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/international-best-track-archive) |
| 38 | + |
| 39 | +**Model Evaluation** |
| 40 | + |
| 41 | +Model training and evaluation methodology, and a complete set of model |
| 42 | +scorecards evaluating each across variables and lead times, are reported in |
| 43 | +the research paper associated with the WeatherNext 2 model: |
| 44 | + |
| 45 | +* [Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals](https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.10772) |
| 46 | + |
| 47 | +**Documentation** |
| 48 | + |
| 49 | +See [the WeatherNext developer’s guide](http://developers.google.com/weathernext) for documentation regarding the models. |
| 50 | + |
| 51 | +**Acknowledgements** |
| 52 | + |
| 53 | +The models communicate with and reference data and products of the European |
| 54 | +Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), as modified by Google. |
| 55 | + |
| 56 | +**Contact** |
| 57 | + |
| 58 | +If you have any questions on using these models please contact: [weathernext-cloud@google.com](mailto:weathernext-cloud@google.com). Any information collected via email will be used in accordance with [Google's privacy policy](https://policies.google.com/privacy). |
| 59 | + |
| 60 | +**Links** |
| 61 | + |
| 62 | +* [WeatherNext developer’s guide](http://developers.google.com/weathernext) |
| 63 | +* [Research model paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.10772) |
| 64 | + |
| 65 | +## Pricing |
| 66 | +Access to forecasting with the WeatherNext models on Vertex AI is currently |
| 67 | +restricted. |
| 68 | +To utilize these models for generating real-time forecasts via this service: |
| 69 | + |
| 70 | +* You must **apply for access**. |
| 71 | +* Your application will be reviewed, and if approved, you will be **added to an allowlist**. |
| 72 | +* Only allow listed users can access the forecasting service. |
| 73 | +* **Pricing information** for the forecasting service will be shared directly with users upon approval and placement on the allowlist. |
| 74 | + |
| 75 | +Running these models *will incur costs* for the GPUs and other Google Cloud resources used. Learn about [Vertex AI Custom Training pricing](https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai/pricing?hl=en&e=48754805#custom-trained-models), [Cloud Storage pricing](https://cloud.google.com/storage/pricing), and use the [Pricing Calculator](https://cloud.google.com/products/calculator/) to generate an estimate. |
| 76 | + |
| 77 | +## Quick start |
| 78 | +The quickest way to get started with the WeatherNext in Google Cloud Platform is to run [our example notebook](weathernext_2_early_access_program.ipynb) in [Google Colab](https://colab.research.google.com/). |
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