news-quarter-ahead.md

name	News: Quarter Ahead
description	Generates quarter-ahead strategic outlook articles and renders HTML in all 14 supported languages in a single agentic run via executive-brief cascade. Long-horizon-forecast workflow with 90-day window — covers next-quarter parliamentary calendar, committee schedules, government propositions tabling deadlines, Riksbank rate decisions, and SCB quarterly NA release. Tier-C aggregation × 1.7 depth multiplier. Runs 1st and 15th of each month.
strict	false
imports	../prompts/00-base-contract.md ../prompts/01-bash-and-shell-safety.md ../prompts/02-mcp-access.md ../prompts/03-data-download.md ../prompts/04-analysis-pipeline.md ../prompts/05-analysis-gate.md ../prompts/06-article-generation.md ../prompts/07-commit-and-pr.md ../prompts/ext/tier-c-aggregation.md ../prompts/ext/long-horizon-forecasting.md
true	schedule workflow_dispatch cron 0 9 1,15 * * inputs article_date force_generation analysis_depth description required Article date (YYYY-MM-DD) for manual backfills. Defaults to today when omitted or scheduled. false description type required default Force generation even if recent articles exist boolean false false description required default Analysis depth for AI iterations (standard=1-2 iterations, deep=2-3 iterations, comprehensive=3+ iterations). Controls SWOT complexity, stakeholder count, scenario tree depth, and dashboard charts. false deep
permissions	contents issues pull-requests actions discussions security-events read read read read read read
timeout-minutes	60
concurrency	group cancel-in-progress gh-aw-news-quarter-ahead-${{ inputs.article_date || 'today' }} false
features	mcp-gateway true
runtimes	node version 26
network	allowed node playwright github defaults docker.io registry-1.docker.io auth.docker.io production.cloudflare.docker.com riksdag-regering-ai.onrender.com data.riksdagen.se www.riksdagen.se riksdagen.se www.regeringen.se regeringen.se www.government.se g0v.se api.scb.se www.scb.se scb-mcp.onrender.com api.imf.org data.imf.org www.imf.org dataservices.imf.org datamarketplace.imf.org api.worldbank.org data.worldbank.org datahelpdesk.worldbank.org governance.worldbank.org www.worldbank.org www.europarl.europa.eu europarl.europa.eu ec.europa.eu eur-lex.europa.eu data.europa.eu www.consilium.europa.eu digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu economy-finance.ec.europa.eu www.enisa.europa.eu www.statskontoret.se statskontoret.se www.lagradet.se lagradet.se www.riksbank.se www.riksrevisionen.se www.konj.se www.finanspolitiskaradet.se www.regelradet.se www.esv.se www.ei.se www.energimyndigheten.se www.naturvardsverket.se www.boverket.se www.do.se www.domstol.se www.imy.se www.konkurrensverket.se www.kriminalvarden.se www.migrationsverket.se www.msb.se www.av.se www.svt.se www.val.se bra.se hack23.com www.hack23.com hack23.github.io riksdagsmonitor.com www.riksdagsmonitor.com riksdagsmonitor.hack23.com riksdagsmonitor.pages.dev euparliamentmonitor.com www.euparliamentmonitor.com ciacompliancemanager.com www.ciacompliancemanager.com blacktrigram.com www.blacktrigram.com raw.githubusercontent.com
mcp-servers	riksdag-regering scb world-bank url allowed https://riksdag-regering-ai.onrender.com/mcp * container entrypoint entrypointArgs allowed node:26-alpine npx -y @jarib/pxweb-mcp@2.0.0 --url https://api.scb.se/OV0104/v2beta * container entrypoint entrypointArgs allowed node:26-alpine npx -y worldbank-mcp@1.0.1 *
tools	startup-timeout timeout github agentic-workflows bash edit web-fetch cache-memory 180 120 toolsets all true true key retention-days news-${{ github.workflow }}-${{ inputs.article_date || 'today' }} 14
safe-outputs	threat-detection allowed-domains max-patch-size max-patch-files create-pull-request add-comment continue-on-error true riksdag-regering-ai.onrender.com data.riksdagen.se www.riksdagen.se riksdagen.se www.regeringen.se regeringen.se www.government.se g0v.se api.scb.se www.scb.se scb-mcp.onrender.com api.imf.org data.imf.org www.imf.org dataservices.imf.org datamarketplace.imf.org api.worldbank.org data.worldbank.org datahelpdesk.worldbank.org governance.worldbank.org www.worldbank.org www.europarl.europa.eu europarl.europa.eu ec.europa.eu eur-lex.europa.eu data.europa.eu www.consilium.europa.eu digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu economy-finance.ec.europa.eu www.enisa.europa.eu www.statskontoret.se statskontoret.se www.lagradet.se lagradet.se www.riksbank.se www.riksrevisionen.se www.konj.se www.finanspolitiskaradet.se www.regelradet.se www.esv.se www.ei.se www.energimyndigheten.se www.naturvardsverket.se www.boverket.se www.do.se www.domstol.se www.imy.se www.konkurrensverket.se www.kriminalvarden.se www.migrationsverket.se www.msb.se www.av.se www.svt.se www.val.se bra.se hack23.com www.hack23.com hack23.github.io riksdagsmonitor.com www.riksdagsmonitor.com riksdagsmonitor.hack23.com riksdagsmonitor.pages.dev euparliamentmonitor.com www.euparliamentmonitor.com ciacompliancemanager.com www.ciacompliancemanager.com blacktrigram.com www.blacktrigram.com raw.githubusercontent.com 10240 100 labels draft expires max if-no-changes fallback-as-issue protected-files agentic-news analysis-data long-horizon forward-look false 14d 1 warn true policy allowed
steps	name uses with News pre-warm & pre-flight (composite) ./.github/actions/news-prewarm imf-sdmx-subscription-key ${{ secrets.IMF_SDMX_SUBSCRIPTION_KEY }}
engine	id model copilot claude-sonnet-4.6

🧭 Quarter Ahead

Generates deep political intelligence analysis and renders the HTML article in all 14 supported languages for forward-looking quarterly political intelligence (Tier-C aggregation × 1.7 depth multiplier — see ext/tier-c-aggregation.md and ext/long-horizon-forecasting.md) in one single agentic run. The 90-day window covers the next-quarter parliamentary calendar (committee schedules, chamber votes, government propositions tabling deadlines, Lagrådet referrals, Riksbank rate decisions, SCB quarterly NA release).

The dedicated news-translate workflow runs on a separate track and translates executive-brief.md markdown into 13 language siblings (executive-brief_<lang>.md)

What this workflow does

• Article type: quarter-ahead (registry id; see analysis/article-types.json)
• Analysis subfolder: analysis/daily/$ARTICLE_DATE/quarter-ahead/
• Aggregated markdown: analysis/daily/$ARTICLE_DATE/quarter-ahead/article.md
• Rendered HTML: news/$ARTICLE_DATE-quarter-ahead-{en,sv,da,no,fi,de,fr,es,nl,ar,he,ja,ko,zh}.html — always all 14 languages
• Horizon: 90 days; lookback 90 days (sibling per-type folders + most-recent week-ahead + month-ahead).
• Single-run model: download → analysis Pass 1 + 2 → gate → aggregate → render (14 languages) → ONE PR.

Long-horizon mandate (from ext/long-horizon-forecasting.md)

• Scenario count: ≥ 4 distinct scenarios in scenario-analysis.md, probabilities sum to 100 %.
• Counterfactuals: ≥ 2 explicit counterfactual paragraphs in devils-advocate.md.
• Cross-horizon citations: cite the most recent week-ahead AND month-ahead analyses in cross-reference-map.md. Missing citations fail the gate.
• IMF policy: pinned WEO + FM vintage at run start; emit economic-data.json v2.0 with quarterly trajectory series for SWE + Nordic peers (DNK, NOR, FIN).
• Forward indicators: ≥ 12 dated indicators across the bands week / month / quarter / year / election.
• Word floor: ≥ 2 000 words (versus 1 500 for week-ahead / month-ahead).

Time budget

🟡 Plan to call safeoutputs___create_pull_request by agent minute 42 (hard deadline 45) to reserve job-level headroom for setup variance and the safe-outputs runner. See 00-base-contract.md §Session timing and 07-commit-and-pr.md §Deadline enforcement.

Minutes	Phase	Module
0–3	MCP pre-warm + pre-flight	02 / 03
3–7	Download data + catalogue + IMF pinned vintage	03
7–25	Analysis Pass 1 (all 23 artifacts at 1.7× depth, scenario tree depth 4, ≥ 12 forward indicators)	04 + ext/long-horizon-forecasting
25–36	Analysis Pass 2 (read-back + improvements; ≥ 2 counterfactuals; extended slot reclaims the time freed by removing per-language Markdown translation — see TRANSLATION_GUIDE.md §News articles are translated out-of-band)	04
36–37	Analysis Gate (checks 1–11 + Tier-C additive + long-horizon checks)	05
37–39	Aggregate (article.md) + post-aggregate validate-article.ts (Check 12)	06
39–42	Render (scripts/render-articles.ts --lang all → all 14 HTML)	06
42–43	Stage + commit + ONE safeoutputs___create_pull_request — HARD DEADLINE agent minute 45	07

Use the setup-aware agent budget for AI-FIRST iteration; trim scope before quality and open the PR by agent minute 42 (hard 45). Never open a second PR within a run.

Inputs

• article_date — override date (defaults to today)
• force_generation — regenerate even if today's content exists
• analysis_depth — standard | deep (default) | comprehensive

Note: there is no languages input. Every run produces all 14 language HTML files. Translation depth-of-quality scales with the time budget (see the table above).

Run-mode selection

At the start of every run, the pre-flight check in 03-data-download.md detects whether analysis/daily/$ARTICLE_DATE/quarter-ahead/ already contains all 23 required artifacts:

• No analysis found → run the full pipeline.
• Analysis found → enter improvement-mode (see 04-analysis-pipeline.md §Improvement-mode path); add fresh evidence on top of the snapshotted baseline.

All other rules live in the imported modules.