Skip to content

Overstated income elastricity for "other industry" #537

Open
@djvdven

Description

@djvdven

When checking GCAM 7 scenarios with actual trends, I notice that the energy demand for "other industry" increases extraordinary fast in GCAM. Looking into the issue, I noticed that the CSV that defines this income elasticity as a function of total output per capita (input\gcamdata\inst\extdata\socioeconomics\A32.inc_elas_output.csv), has not been changed since GCAM 5, but in the meantime, many sectors have been separated from "other industry". As a result, global 2015 output for "other industry" is around 2.5 times lower in GCAM 7 than GCAM 5. However, not having changed that CSV implies that income elasticities are around the same magnitude higher in GCAM 7, leading to fast demand growth, which may not be realistic.

Metadata

Metadata

Assignees

No one assigned

    Labels

    No labels
    No labels

    Type

    No type

    Projects

    No projects

    Milestone

    No milestone

    Relationships

    None yet

    Development

    No branches or pull requests

    Issue actions