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client/src/containers/guided-exploration-container/index.tsx

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@@ -120,8 +120,8 @@ export function GuidedExplorationPageContainer() {
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<p>
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The Scenario Compass dataset builds on the AR6 scenario database, assembled for the
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Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC),
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published in 2022. Since then, new scenarios have extended coverage into areas which
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the original ensemble left unexplored and include scenarios that better represent
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published in 2022. Since then, new scenarios have extended coverage into areas that
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the original ensemble left unexplored, including scenarios that better represent
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current developments and near-term policy constraints, providing a stronger basis
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for decision-making.
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</p>
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<section className={cn(CONTENT_WIDTH, "mb-12")}>
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<FigureCaption
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label="Figure 1 · The Scenario Map"
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caption="Scenario count reflects modelling conventions, not real-world likelihood — more is not more probable."
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caption="Note on reading this figure: Scenario count reflects modelling conventions, not real-world likelihood — more is not more probable."
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/>
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</section>
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</p>
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<p>
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These assessments are made by an expert panel convened by the Scenario Compass. They
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are reviewed annually and subject to public consultation. This process matters for a
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specific reason: these are expert judgments, not objective facts. Scientists can and
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These assessments are made by an expert panel convened by the Scenario Compass Initiative. They
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are reviewed annually and subject to public consultation. This process matters:
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the assessments are expert judgments, not objective facts. Scientists can and
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do disagree about where the lines fall. Rather than resolving this disagreement
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artificially, the Scenario Compass puts the choice in your hands – informed by expert
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assessments, you can select your own thresholds and explore how the results change.
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</div>
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<div className={cn(CONTENT_WIDTH, "mb-16")}>
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<p className="font-bold">Three findings emerge consistently:</p>
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<p className="font-bold">Three findings emerge consistently when considering feasibility and sustainability:</p>
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<ol className="text-compass-body mt-4 list-decimal space-y-2 pl-6 text-lg">
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<li>Considering sustainability and feasibility increases short-term ambition.</li>
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<li>Short-term ambition increases; emissions are more strongly reduced in the next 25 years.</li>
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<li>Speculative carbon removal (CDR) reliance is significantly reduced.</li>
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<li>Demand-side transformations become essential for 1.5°C compatibility.</li>
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</ol>

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