|
| 1 | +# Self-Ask and Refine: Agentic Trading Terminal |
| 2 | + |
| 3 | +## Core Question: What is "Vibe Trading"? |
| 4 | + |
| 5 | +### Initial Understanding (WRONG) |
| 6 | +**Assumption:** Vibe trading = social sentiment analysis |
| 7 | +- Track Twitter mentions |
| 8 | +- Monitor meme velocity |
| 9 | +- Measure FOMO levels |
| 10 | +- Predict price from vibes |
| 11 | + |
| 12 | +**What I Built:** VibeMeterWidget showing sentiment scores |
| 13 | + |
| 14 | +### Corrected Understanding (RIGHT) |
| 15 | +**Reality:** Vibe trading = agentic trading (like vibe coding) |
| 16 | +- **Vibe coding:** "Make me a CRUD app" → AI writes code |
| 17 | +- **Vibe trading:** "I want to buy SOL" → AI executes trade |
| 18 | + |
| 19 | +**What I Should Build:** Conversational agent that handles vague intent |
| 20 | + |
| 21 | +--- |
| 22 | + |
| 23 | +## Self-Questioning Process |
| 24 | + |
| 25 | +### Q1: Is the command parser ready for agentic trading? |
| 26 | + |
| 27 | +**Initial Answer:** "Yes, it parses 'buy 10 SOL at market' with 95% confidence" |
| 28 | + |
| 29 | +**Self-Challenge:** But what about "I think SOL looks good"? |
| 30 | + |
| 31 | +**Discovery:** Parser requires exact syntax. Returns `confidence: 0` for vague input. |
| 32 | + |
| 33 | +**Refinement:** Built `intent-analyzer.ts` using LLM to extract intent from conversational language. |
| 34 | + |
| 35 | +**Evidence of Improvement:** |
| 36 | +```typescript |
| 37 | +// Before (regex only) |
| 38 | +"buy 10 SOL" → ✅ {action: 'buy', amount: 10, token: 'SOL'} |
| 39 | +"I think SOL looks good" → ❌ {type: 'unknown', confidence: 0} |
| 40 | + |
| 41 | +// After (LLM-powered) |
| 42 | +"buy 10 SOL" → ✅ {action: 'buy', amount: 10, token: 'SOL'} |
| 43 | +"I think SOL looks good" → ✅ { |
| 44 | + intent: 'BUY', |
| 45 | + asset: 'SOL', |
| 46 | + clarificationNeeded: true, |
| 47 | + questions: ["How much do you want to invest?"] |
| 48 | +} |
| 49 | +``` |
| 50 | + |
| 51 | +--- |
| 52 | + |
| 53 | +### Q2: Does the AI Chat Widget support multi-turn conversations? |
| 54 | + |
| 55 | +**Initial Answer:** "Yes, it has `integratedAgent.generateEnhancedPlan()`" |
| 56 | + |
| 57 | +**Self-Challenge:** But does it ask clarifying questions when intent is vague? |
| 58 | + |
| 59 | +**Discovery:** No. It either auto-executes (confidence > 50%) or asks for manual approval. No conversational clarification. |
| 60 | + |
| 61 | +**Refinement:** Built `conversational-agent.ts` with state machine: |
| 62 | +- AWAITING_INPUT → ANALYZING_INTENT → CLARIFYING → PROPOSING_TRADE → AWAITING_APPROVAL → EXECUTING → COMPLETED |
| 63 | + |
| 64 | +**Evidence of Improvement:** |
| 65 | +```typescript |
| 66 | +// Before |
| 67 | +User: "I want to buy SOL" |
| 68 | +→ Plan generated |
| 69 | +→ If confidence > 50%: Execute |
| 70 | +→ If confidence < 50%: "Please review manually" |
| 71 | +→ END |
| 72 | + |
| 73 | +// After |
| 74 | +User: "I want to buy SOL" |
| 75 | +→ Agent: "How much do you want to invest?" |
| 76 | +→ User: "$500" |
| 77 | +→ Agent: "At $200, that's 2.5 SOL. Want a stop loss?" |
| 78 | +→ User: "Yes, 10%" |
| 79 | +→ Agent: [Shows proposal] "Approve?" |
| 80 | +→ User: "Yes" |
| 81 | +→ Agent: "Trade executed!" |
| 82 | +``` |
| 83 | + |
| 84 | +--- |
| 85 | + |
| 86 | +### Q3: How should conversational trading integrate with the existing UI? |
| 87 | + |
| 88 | +**Initial Answer:** "Replace the command palette with a conversational interface" |
| 89 | + |
| 90 | +**Self-Challenge:** What about users who prefer quick commands? |
| 91 | + |
| 92 | +**Discovery:** Need BOTH interfaces: |
| 93 | +- **Command Palette:** For power users who know exact syntax |
| 94 | +- **AI Chat Widget:** For vague intent + conversational flow |
| 95 | + |
| 96 | +**Refinement:** Hybrid approach: |
| 97 | +- Command Palette: "buy 10 SOL at market" → Immediate execution |
| 98 | +- AI Chat: "I want to buy SOL" → Clarifying questions → Proposal → Approval |
| 99 | + |
| 100 | +**Evidence of Design:** |
| 101 | +``` |
| 102 | +Command Palette (Cmd+K): |
| 103 | +├─ Regex parsing (fast, <10ms) |
| 104 | +├─ 95% confidence for exact syntax |
| 105 | +└─ Immediate execution (no confirmation) |
| 106 | +
|
| 107 | +AI Chat Widget: |
| 108 | +├─ LLM-powered intent analysis (~1-2s) |
| 109 | +├─ Multi-turn clarification |
| 110 | +├─ Trade proposal UI |
| 111 | +└─ Explicit approval required |
| 112 | +``` |
| 113 | + |
| 114 | +--- |
| 115 | + |
| 116 | +### Q4: What's actually missing for true agentic trading? |
| 117 | + |
| 118 | +**Initial Answer:** "Nothing, we have command parsing and execution" |
| 119 | + |
| 120 | +**Self-Challenge:** Can the system handle "Maximize my yield" autonomously? |
| 121 | + |
| 122 | +**Discovery:** No. Current system only handles direct commands, not complex goals. |
| 123 | + |
| 124 | +**Gap Analysis:** |
| 125 | + |
| 126 | +**Level 1 (✅ DONE):** |
| 127 | +- Command parsing: "buy 10 SOL" → execute |
| 128 | +- Pattern matching with confidence scoring |
| 129 | + |
| 130 | +**Level 2 (🚧 70% DONE):** |
| 131 | +- Intent extraction: "I want to buy SOL" → clarify → execute |
| 132 | +- Conversational clarification flow |
| 133 | +- **Missing:** UI integration (TradeProposalCard not built yet) |
| 134 | + |
| 135 | +**Level 3 (❌ NOT STARTED):** |
| 136 | +- Autonomous strategies: "Buy $100 SOL every Monday" |
| 137 | +- Cron-based execution |
| 138 | +- Performance tracking |
| 139 | + |
| 140 | +**Level 4 (❌ NOT STARTED):** |
| 141 | +- Multi-agent orchestration: "Maximize my yield" |
| 142 | +- Market analysis agent |
| 143 | +- Risk assessment agent |
| 144 | +- Monitoring agent |
| 145 | + |
| 146 | +**Refinement:** Created roadmap in AGENTIC_TRADING.md and VIBE_TRADING_INTEGRATION.md |
| 147 | + |
| 148 | +--- |
| 149 | + |
| 150 | +### Q5: Is the VibeMeterWidget still relevant? |
| 151 | + |
| 152 | +**Initial Answer:** "No, it was based on wrong understanding" |
| 153 | + |
| 154 | +**Self-Challenge:** Could sentiment data help agent decision-making? |
| 155 | + |
| 156 | +**Discovery:** Yes! Agents can use vibe scores as ONE input for risk assessment: |
| 157 | + |
| 158 | +```typescript |
| 159 | +// Agent considers multiple factors |
| 160 | +const riskScore = calculateRisk({ |
| 161 | + volatility: marketData.volatility, |
| 162 | + liquidityDepth: marketData.depth, |
| 163 | + vibeScore: vibeData.overallVibe, // ← Sentiment as risk factor |
| 164 | + userRiskProfile: context.riskProfile, |
| 165 | +}); |
| 166 | + |
| 167 | +if (vibeScore > 9.0) { |
| 168 | + warning = "High euphoria detected. Consider smaller position size."; |
| 169 | +} |
| 170 | +``` |
| 171 | + |
| 172 | +**Refinement:** Keep VibeMeterWidget as supplementary data for agents, not primary interface. |
| 173 | + |
| 174 | +--- |
| 175 | + |
| 176 | +## Key Realizations |
| 177 | + |
| 178 | +### Realization 1: Syntax vs Intent |
| 179 | +**Before:** Focused on perfect command syntax |
| 180 | +**After:** Realized users express INTENT, not commands |
| 181 | + |
| 182 | +**Example:** |
| 183 | +- User doesn't say: "execute market order buy 10 units SOL" |
| 184 | +- User says: "I think SOL will pump" |
| 185 | +- Agent must extract intent: BUY, asset: SOL, clarify amount |
| 186 | + |
| 187 | +### Realization 2: One-Shot vs Multi-Turn |
| 188 | +**Before:** Assumed trading is one command → one execution |
| 189 | +**After:** Realized trading is a conversation |
| 190 | + |
| 191 | +**Example:** |
| 192 | +``` |
| 193 | +Traditional: |
| 194 | + Command → Execute → Done |
| 195 | +
|
| 196 | +Agentic: |
| 197 | + Intent → Clarify → Propose → Approve → Execute → Monitor |
| 198 | +``` |
| 199 | + |
| 200 | +### Realization 3: Immediate vs Autonomous |
| 201 | +**Before:** All trades happen immediately |
| 202 | +**After:** Some strategies run autonomously over time |
| 203 | + |
| 204 | +**Example:** |
| 205 | +``` |
| 206 | +Immediate: "buy 10 SOL now" |
| 207 | +Autonomous: "buy $100 SOL every Monday for 3 months" |
| 208 | + (Agent executes 12 times, user sets and forgets) |
| 209 | +``` |
| 210 | + |
| 211 | +### Realization 4: Single-Agent vs Multi-Agent |
| 212 | +**Before:** One AI does everything |
| 213 | +**After:** Specialized agents collaborate |
| 214 | + |
| 215 | +**Example:** |
| 216 | +``` |
| 217 | +User: "Maximize yield on my USDC" |
| 218 | +
|
| 219 | +Single-Agent: "Here's a lending option..." |
| 220 | + ↓ (generic, might miss opportunities) |
| 221 | +
|
| 222 | +Multi-Agent: |
| 223 | + Orchestrator → "Break this into subtasks" |
| 224 | + Market Analysis Agent → "Scans 20 protocols, finds top 5 yields" |
| 225 | + Risk Assessment Agent → "Filters by user risk profile" |
| 226 | + Execution Agent → "Deposits to Kamino (15.3% APY)" |
| 227 | + Monitoring Agent → "Watches vault, rebalances if APY drops" |
| 228 | + ↓ (specialized, optimal outcome) |
| 229 | +``` |
| 230 | + |
| 231 | +--- |
| 232 | + |
| 233 | +## What We Actually Built |
| 234 | + |
| 235 | +### ✅ Completed |
| 236 | +1. **Tabbed Right Panel** - Cleaner UI (not agentic, but needed) |
| 237 | +2. **Layout Presets** - Personalization (not agentic, but improves UX) |
| 238 | +3. **Command Palette (Level 1)** - Direct command execution |
| 239 | +4. **VibeMeterWidget** - Sentiment data (can inform agents) |
| 240 | +5. **Intent Analyzer (Level 2)** - LLM-powered intent extraction |
| 241 | +6. **Conversational Agent (Level 2)** - Multi-turn dialogue state machine |
| 242 | + |
| 243 | +### 🚧 Partially Built |
| 244 | +1. **AI Chat Widget** - Has agent infrastructure, needs conversational integration |
| 245 | +2. **Trade Proposal UI** - Designed but not implemented |
| 246 | + |
| 247 | +### ❌ Not Started |
| 248 | +1. **Level 3:** Autonomous strategy execution |
| 249 | +2. **Level 4:** Multi-agent collaboration |
| 250 | +3. **Agent Dashboard:** UI to manage active agents |
| 251 | +4. **Strategy Marketplace:** Share/buy agent strategies |
| 252 | + |
| 253 | +--- |
| 254 | + |
| 255 | +## Gaps and Next Steps |
| 256 | + |
| 257 | +### Gap 1: No Trade Proposal UI |
| 258 | +**Problem:** Conversational agent generates proposals, but no UI to display them |
| 259 | + |
| 260 | +**Solution:** Build `TradeProposalCard.tsx` |
| 261 | +```tsx |
| 262 | +<TradeProposalCard |
| 263 | + proposal={proposal} |
| 264 | + onApprove={() => agent.approve()} |
| 265 | + onReject={() => agent.reject()} |
| 266 | + onModify={() => agent.modify()} |
| 267 | +/> |
| 268 | +``` |
| 269 | + |
| 270 | +**Effort:** 2-3 hours |
| 271 | + |
| 272 | +--- |
| 273 | + |
| 274 | +### Gap 2: AI Chat Widget Not Wired to Conversational Agent |
| 275 | +**Problem:** Chat widget uses old `generateEnhancedPlan()`, not new conversational flow |
| 276 | + |
| 277 | +**Solution:** Update `handleSendMessage()` to use `conversationalAgent.processMessage()` |
| 278 | + |
| 279 | +**Effort:** 1-2 hours |
| 280 | + |
| 281 | +--- |
| 282 | + |
| 283 | +### Gap 3: No Portfolio Context |
| 284 | +**Problem:** Agent needs user portfolio to make recommendations |
| 285 | + |
| 286 | +**Solution:** Fetch portfolio from wallet or localStorage |
| 287 | +```typescript |
| 288 | +const portfolio = { |
| 289 | + assets: await fetchWalletBalances(walletAddress), |
| 290 | + totalValue: calculateTotalValue(assets), |
| 291 | +}; |
| 292 | +``` |
| 293 | + |
| 294 | +**Effort:** 3-4 hours (needs Solana RPC integration) |
| 295 | + |
| 296 | +--- |
| 297 | + |
| 298 | +### Gap 4: No Autonomous Execution |
| 299 | +**Problem:** Can't do "buy $100 SOL every Monday" |
| 300 | + |
| 301 | +**Solution:** Build strategy engine + cron scheduler |
| 302 | +- Store strategies in database |
| 303 | +- Run cron job every minute |
| 304 | +- Check if strategy should execute |
| 305 | +- Execute trade |
| 306 | +- Log performance |
| 307 | + |
| 308 | +**Effort:** 1-2 weeks |
| 309 | + |
| 310 | +--- |
| 311 | + |
| 312 | +### Gap 5: No Multi-Agent System |
| 313 | +**Problem:** Can't do "maximize yield" (requires orchestration) |
| 314 | + |
| 315 | +**Solution:** Build specialized agents + orchestrator |
| 316 | +- Market analysis agent (scan protocols) |
| 317 | +- Risk assessment agent (filter by risk profile) |
| 318 | +- Execution agent (deposit funds) |
| 319 | +- Monitoring agent (watch performance) |
| 320 | + |
| 321 | +**Effort:** 1-2 months |
| 322 | + |
| 323 | +--- |
| 324 | + |
| 325 | +## Lessons Learned |
| 326 | + |
| 327 | +### 1. Don't Assume, Clarify |
| 328 | +**Mistake:** Assumed "vibe trading" = sentiment analysis |
| 329 | +**Fix:** Asked user for clarification → learned it's agentic trading |
| 330 | + |
| 331 | +### 2. Question Your Own Implementation |
| 332 | +**Mistake:** Thought command palette was "done" |
| 333 | +**Fix:** Asked "Can it handle vague input?" → realized it can't |
| 334 | + |
| 335 | +### 3. Break Down Complexity |
| 336 | +**Mistake:** Tried to build "agentic trading" as one feature |
| 337 | +**Fix:** Realized it's 4 levels: Command → Intent → Autonomous → Multi-Agent |
| 338 | + |
| 339 | +### 4. UX Before Architecture |
| 340 | +**Mistake:** Built backend (conversational agent) before UI |
| 341 | +**Fix:** Should have mocked UI first to validate UX flow |
| 342 | + |
| 343 | +### 5. Integration is Hardest Part |
| 344 | +**Mistake:** Built isolated components (intent analyzer, conversational agent) |
| 345 | +**Fix:** Now need to wire them into existing UI (harder than building them) |
| 346 | + |
| 347 | +--- |
| 348 | + |
| 349 | +## Self-Assessment |
| 350 | + |
| 351 | +### What Went Well |
| 352 | +- ✅ Identified gap between command parsing and intent understanding |
| 353 | +- ✅ Built LLM-powered intent analyzer |
| 354 | +- ✅ Designed conversational state machine |
| 355 | +- ✅ Created comprehensive roadmap (4 levels of agentic trading) |
| 356 | + |
| 357 | +### What Could Be Better |
| 358 | +- ❌ Should have validated "vibe trading" concept BEFORE building VibeMeterWidget |
| 359 | +- ❌ Should have integrated conversational agent into UI immediately |
| 360 | +- ❌ Should have tested end-to-end flow before declaring "done" |
| 361 | + |
| 362 | +### What's Next |
| 363 | +**Immediate (This Week):** |
| 364 | +1. Build TradeProposalCard UI |
| 365 | +2. Wire conversational agent into AI Chat Widget |
| 366 | +3. Test full conversation flow: vague intent → clarification → proposal → execution |
| 367 | + |
| 368 | +**Short-term (This Month):** |
| 369 | +1. Add portfolio context fetching |
| 370 | +2. Improve intent analyzer prompts |
| 371 | +3. Add usage limits (prevent API cost explosion) |
| 372 | + |
| 373 | +**Long-term (3+ Months):** |
| 374 | +1. Build autonomous strategy engine (Level 3) |
| 375 | +2. Build multi-agent orchestration (Level 4) |
| 376 | +3. Launch agent marketplace |
| 377 | + |
| 378 | +--- |
| 379 | + |
| 380 | +## Final Thoughts |
| 381 | + |
| 382 | +**Initial Goal:** Build vibe trading |
| 383 | +**Initial Approach:** Sentiment analysis widget |
| 384 | +**Refined Goal:** Build agentic trading |
| 385 | +**Refined Approach:** Conversational AI that executes intent |
| 386 | + |
| 387 | +**Key Insight:** The gap between "what user says" and "what gets executed" is where the magic happens. Agentic trading fills that gap with: |
| 388 | +1. Intent extraction (understand vague input) |
| 389 | +2. Clarification (ask questions to refine) |
| 390 | +3. Proposal (suggest optimal action) |
| 391 | +4. Execution (handle the details) |
| 392 | + |
| 393 | +**This is the "vibe"** - express intent naturally, AI handles everything else. |
| 394 | + |
| 395 | +--- |
| 396 | + |
| 397 | +**Status:** Self-Ask Complete ✅ |
| 398 | +**Next:** Implement refined approach (integrate conversational agent into UI) |
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