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| 1 | +# Quick Reference: April 18 Verification Findings |
| 2 | + |
| 3 | +## Status Summary |
| 4 | + |
| 5 | +| # | Report | Status | Errors | Action | |
| 6 | +|---|--------|--------|--------|--------| |
| 7 | +| 1 | egp-evidence-synthesis-report-2026-04-18.md | ❌ REJECT | 5 | **Retract & rebuild** | |
| 8 | +| 2 | expanded-cohort-validation-report-2026-04-18.md | ❌ REJECT | 5 | **Discard DynISF sections** | |
| 9 | +| 3 | sc-ceiling-demand-isf-report-2026-04-18.md | ⚠️ FIX | 2 | **Replace ceiling column** | |
| 10 | +| 4 | wall-resolution-mechanism-report-2026-04-18.md | ✅ PASS | 0 | **Publish as-is** | |
| 11 | +| 5 | controller-isf-signatures-report-2026-04-18.md | ❌ REJECT | 5 | **Rebuild with actual IDs** | |
| 12 | + |
| 13 | +--- |
| 14 | + |
| 15 | +## Critical Errors by Report |
| 16 | + |
| 17 | +### Report 1: EGP Evidence Synthesis |
| 18 | + |
| 19 | +1. **P-value inflation** (Section 3.1): Claims p<10⁻¹⁹; actual ≈4×10⁻¹¹ (1000× overstatement) |
| 20 | +2. **Patient count** (Line 4): Claims 12; EXP-2656/2662 use 28 (2.3× error) |
| 21 | +3. **Selective reporting** (Section 3.6): Hides 3 of 9 patients with r≥0 |
| 22 | +4. **Wrong counts** (3.3, 3.8, 3.9): Claims 12; actual 25, 28, 28 respectively |
| 23 | + |
| 24 | +--- |
| 25 | + |
| 26 | +### Report 2: Expanded Cohort Validation |
| 27 | + |
| 28 | +1. **Fabricated DynISF cohort** (EXP-2651): Claims 12 patients; JSON shows 25 identical to Original |
| 29 | +2. **Fabricated DynISF cohort** (EXP-2652): Claims 10 patients; JSON shows 18 |
| 30 | +3. **Fabricated EXP-2640 table**: Rows c, e, g marked insufficient but data invented |
| 31 | +4. **H1 understatement**: EXP-2662 Original 7% vs actual 11.2% (60% error) |
| 32 | +5. **H1 understatement**: EXP-2662 DynISF 9% vs actual 13.7% (52% error) |
| 33 | + |
| 34 | +--- |
| 35 | + |
| 36 | +### Report 3: SC Ceiling Demand ISF |
| 37 | + |
| 38 | +1. **Fitted ceiling column**: 69% of values wrong; median 22.5% vs actual 13.9% |
| 39 | +2. **Range overstated**: 10-67% vs actual 10-55% |
| 40 | + |
| 41 | +**Fix**: Replace fitted ceiling column with correct JSON values |
| 42 | + |
| 43 | +--- |
| 44 | + |
| 45 | +### Report 4: Wall Resolution Mechanism |
| 46 | + |
| 47 | +✅ **No errors found** — All tables verified, all arithmetic correct |
| 48 | + |
| 49 | +--- |
| 50 | + |
| 51 | +### Report 5: Controller ISF Signatures |
| 52 | + |
| 53 | +1. **Fabricated patient IDs**: All 12 ns-* IDs don't exist (actual: a-k + odc-*) |
| 54 | +2. **Patient i contradiction**: Motivation mentions; table excludes without explanation |
| 55 | +3. **Hidden exclusions**: 5 of 17 patients excluded undisclosed (29% sample loss) |
| 56 | +4. **Artificial homogeneity**: Motivation promises multicontroller; results show 100% Trio/AB |
| 57 | +5. **Hypothesis inversions**: H1, H2, H3 all reported FAIL but actual PASS |
| 58 | + |
| 59 | +--- |
| 60 | + |
| 61 | +## Key Statistics |
| 62 | + |
| 63 | +- **Total reports**: 5 |
| 64 | +- **Reports with errors**: 4 (80%) |
| 65 | +- **Total high-confidence errors**: 17 |
| 66 | +- **Fabricated sections**: 3 (Reports 2, 5) |
| 67 | +- **Per-patient tables affected**: 2 (Reports 2, 5) |
| 68 | +- **Wrong patient counts**: 4 (Reports 1, 2, 3, 5) |
| 69 | +- **Hidden exclusions**: 2 (Reports 1, 5) |
| 70 | +- **P-value issues**: 1 (Report 1) |
| 71 | + |
| 72 | +--- |
| 73 | + |
| 74 | +## Recommended Actions |
| 75 | + |
| 76 | +**TODAY (do not publish)**: |
| 77 | +- Flag Reports 1, 2, 5 as requiring retraction/rebuild |
| 78 | +- Hold Report 3 pending ceiling column replacement |
| 79 | + |
| 80 | +**TOMORROW (rebuild)**: |
| 81 | +- Report 1: Verify actual patient scope; remove inflated p-value claims |
| 82 | +- Report 2: Discard DynISF sections; rebuild EXP-2640 table from JSON |
| 83 | +- Report 5: Rebuild using actual patient IDs from JSON; include all 17 or document exclusion |
| 84 | + |
| 85 | +**READY (approve)**: |
| 86 | +- Report 4: Publish as-is |
| 87 | + |
| 88 | +--- |
| 89 | + |
| 90 | +## Where to Find Details |
| 91 | + |
| 92 | +**Full verification report**: `VERIFICATION-REPORT-2026-04-18-BATCH.md` |
| 93 | +- Complete evidence for each error |
| 94 | +- JSON references and line numbers |
| 95 | +- Actual vs claimed values for every discrepancy |
| 96 | + |
| 97 | +**This quick reference**: Error summary and remediation roadmap |
| 98 | + |
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