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updated election code
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discrete_and_continuous_variables/.ipynb_checkpoints/how_not_to_predict_an_election-checkpoint.ipynb

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"id": "9ef46ba9-7c50-4eba-9253-43a910bb4e60",
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"[Probability and Statistics for Data Science](https://www.ps4ds.net/) \n",
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"Material for the book [Probability and Statistics for Data Science](https://a.co/d/cAss9mO). A free preprint, videos, code, slides and solutions to exercises are available at https://www.ps4ds.net/\n",
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"\n",
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"Code for Section 6.7.3\n",
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"\n",
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"Monte Carlo simulations for a Bayesian model of a fictitious election, where incorrect independence assumptions make a crucial difference.\\\n",
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"Topics: Bayesian parametric modeling, independence, conditional independence, the Monte Carlo method\n",
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"Topics and relevant videos: [Election forecasting](https://youtu.be/iglSYEcWFKs?si=szm4NfGmINoiPcGA), [Bayesian parametric modeling](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G63ZmHg83mg), [independence, conditional independence](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJNArEm5U_A), [the Monte Carlo method](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIY_J85hHdw)\n",
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"\n",
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"Author: Carlos Fernandez-Granda"
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]

discrete_and_continuous_variables/how_not_to_predict_an_election.ipynb

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"Code for Section 6.7.3\n",
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"\n",
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"Monte Carlo simulations for a Bayesian model of a fictitious election, where incorrect independence assumptions make a crucial difference.\\\n",
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"Topics and relevant videos: [Bayesian parametric modeling](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G63ZmHg83mg), [independence, conditional independence](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJNArEm5U_A), [the Monte Carlo method](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIY_J85hHdw)\n",
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"Topics and relevant videos: [Election forecasting](https://youtu.be/iglSYEcWFKs?si=szm4NfGmINoiPcGA), [Bayesian parametric modeling](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G63ZmHg83mg), [independence, conditional independence](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJNArEm5U_A), [the Monte Carlo method](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIY_J85hHdw)\n",
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"\n",
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"Author: Carlos Fernandez-Granda"
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]

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