|
| 1 | +""" |
| 2 | +Segmentation utilities – Stage 5 Regime-Transition Detection |
| 3 | +============================================================= |
1 | 4 |
|
| 5 | +Provides three helper utilities that support the manuscript's validation |
| 6 | +pipeline: |
| 7 | +
|
| 8 | +1. :func:`compute_threshold` – empirically derive the critical threshold Φ_c |
| 9 | + from an instability-magnitude series ΔΦ(t) (manuscript Section 5). |
| 10 | +
|
| 11 | +2. :func:`regime_shading_intervals` – convert per-time-point regime labels into |
| 12 | + contiguous (start, end, regime) intervals suitable for axis shading |
| 13 | + (e.g. ``matplotlib.axes.Axes.axvspan``). |
| 14 | +
|
| 15 | +3. :func:`extract_transition_events` – extract the ordered sequence of regime |
| 16 | + transitions from the label array, annotated with the time index at which |
| 17 | + each transition occurs. |
| 18 | +
|
| 19 | +None of the functions assign biological meaning to the detected segments; they |
| 20 | +operate purely on the numerical ΔΦ(t) series and the discrete label array |
| 21 | +produced by :func:`~src.stage5_regime_transitions.detect_regimes.detect_regimes`. |
| 22 | +
|
| 23 | +References |
| 24 | +---------- |
| 25 | +Manuscript Section 5 (Regime Transition Structure): |
| 26 | +
|
| 27 | + "The threshold Φ_c is not assumed to be universal and must be determined |
| 28 | + empirically for each system under study, for example through baseline |
| 29 | + characterisation, surrogate analysis, or controlled perturbation |
| 30 | + experiments." |
| 31 | +
|
| 32 | +Manuscript Section 8.3 (Synthetic Validation Protocol): |
| 33 | +
|
| 34 | + "Baseline statistics (μ_X, σ_X) are computed over the stable regime |
| 35 | + (t < 60 s)." |
| 36 | +""" |
| 37 | + |
| 38 | +from __future__ import annotations |
| 39 | + |
| 40 | +from typing import List, NamedTuple |
| 41 | + |
| 42 | +import numpy as np |
| 43 | + |
| 44 | + |
| 45 | +# --------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 46 | +# 1. Threshold computation |
| 47 | +# --------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 48 | + |
| 49 | +def compute_threshold( |
| 50 | + delta_phi: np.ndarray, |
| 51 | + method: str = "quantile", |
| 52 | + *, |
| 53 | + q: float = 0.90, |
| 54 | + baseline_mask: np.ndarray | None = None, |
| 55 | + n_sigma: float = 2.0, |
| 56 | +) -> float: |
| 57 | + """Compute an empirical threshold Φ_c from the instability magnitude ΔΦ(t). |
| 58 | +
|
| 59 | + The threshold is *not* assumed to be universal (manuscript Section 5). |
| 60 | + Two estimation strategies are supported: |
| 61 | +
|
| 62 | + ``"quantile"`` |
| 63 | + Φ_c = quantile(ΔΦ, q). The quantile is computed over the full |
| 64 | + supplied series unless a *baseline_mask* is provided, in which case |
| 65 | + only the masked samples are used. This matches the quantile-based |
| 66 | + empirical characterisation described in Sections 5 and 6 of the |
| 67 | + manuscript. |
| 68 | +
|
| 69 | + ``"baseline"`` |
| 70 | + Φ_c = μ_baseline + n_sigma · σ_baseline, where μ and σ are the mean |
| 71 | + and standard deviation of ΔΦ(t) restricted to the stable baseline |
| 72 | + window identified by *baseline_mask*. This mirrors the baseline |
| 73 | + normalisation defined in manuscript Eq. (27): |
| 74 | +
|
| 75 | + X_n(t) = ( X(t) − μ_X ) / σ_X, X ∈ {E, I, C} |
| 76 | +
|
| 77 | + and the protocol in Section 8.3 which computes baseline statistics |
| 78 | + "over the stable regime (t < 60 s)". |
| 79 | +
|
| 80 | + Parameters |
| 81 | + ---------- |
| 82 | + delta_phi : array_like, shape (T,) |
| 83 | + Instability magnitude ΔΦ(t) ≥ 0 as produced by |
| 84 | + :func:`~src.stage5_regime_transitions.compute_delta_phi.compute_delta_phi`. |
| 85 | + method : {"quantile", "baseline"}, default "quantile" |
| 86 | + Threshold estimation strategy (see above). |
| 87 | + q : float, default 0.90 |
| 88 | + Quantile level for the ``"quantile"`` method. Must be in (0, 1]. |
| 89 | + baseline_mask : array_like of bool, shape (T,), optional |
| 90 | + Boolean mask identifying the stable baseline samples. |
| 91 | + - For ``"quantile"``: when provided, the quantile is computed only |
| 92 | + over the masked (``True``) samples. |
| 93 | + - For ``"baseline"``: required; raises ``ValueError`` if omitted. |
| 94 | + n_sigma : float, default 2.0 |
| 95 | + Number of standard deviations above the baseline mean for the |
| 96 | + ``"baseline"`` method. Must be non-negative. |
| 97 | +
|
| 98 | + Returns |
| 99 | + ------- |
| 100 | + threshold : float |
| 101 | + Empirical threshold Φ_c ≥ 0. |
| 102 | +
|
| 103 | + Raises |
| 104 | + ------ |
| 105 | + ValueError |
| 106 | + If *delta_phi* is not 1-D, *method* is unrecognised, quantile |
| 107 | + parameters are out of range, or the ``"baseline"`` method is called |
| 108 | + without a valid *baseline_mask*. |
| 109 | +
|
| 110 | + Examples |
| 111 | + -------- |
| 112 | + >>> import numpy as np |
| 113 | + >>> from src.stage5_regime_transitions.segmentation_utils import compute_threshold |
| 114 | + >>> rng = np.random.default_rng(0) |
| 115 | + >>> delta_phi = np.abs(rng.normal(1.0, 0.5, 300)) |
| 116 | + >>> thr = compute_threshold(delta_phi, method="quantile", q=0.90) |
| 117 | + >>> float(thr) >= 0 |
| 118 | + True |
| 119 | + >>> mask = np.zeros(300, dtype=bool) |
| 120 | + >>> mask[:60] = True # first 60 samples are the stable baseline |
| 121 | + >>> thr_b = compute_threshold(delta_phi, method="baseline", baseline_mask=mask, n_sigma=2.0) |
| 122 | + >>> float(thr_b) >= 0 |
| 123 | + True |
| 124 | + """ |
| 125 | + delta_phi = np.asarray(delta_phi, dtype=float) |
| 126 | + if delta_phi.ndim != 1: |
| 127 | + raise ValueError( |
| 128 | + f"delta_phi must be a 1-D array; got shape {delta_phi.shape}." |
| 129 | + ) |
| 130 | + |
| 131 | + if method == "quantile": |
| 132 | + if not (0.0 < q <= 1.0): |
| 133 | + raise ValueError( |
| 134 | + f"q must be in (0, 1]; got q={q}." |
| 135 | + ) |
| 136 | + samples = delta_phi |
| 137 | + if baseline_mask is not None: |
| 138 | + mask = np.asarray(baseline_mask, dtype=bool) |
| 139 | + if mask.shape != delta_phi.shape: |
| 140 | + raise ValueError( |
| 141 | + "baseline_mask must have the same shape as delta_phi; " |
| 142 | + f"got {mask.shape} vs {delta_phi.shape}." |
| 143 | + ) |
| 144 | + samples = delta_phi[mask] |
| 145 | + if samples.size == 0: |
| 146 | + raise ValueError( |
| 147 | + "baseline_mask selects no samples; cannot compute quantile." |
| 148 | + ) |
| 149 | + return float(np.quantile(samples, q)) |
| 150 | + |
| 151 | + elif method == "baseline": |
| 152 | + if baseline_mask is None: |
| 153 | + raise ValueError( |
| 154 | + "baseline_mask is required for method='baseline'." |
| 155 | + ) |
| 156 | + if n_sigma < 0.0: |
| 157 | + raise ValueError( |
| 158 | + f"n_sigma must be non-negative; got n_sigma={n_sigma}." |
| 159 | + ) |
| 160 | + mask = np.asarray(baseline_mask, dtype=bool) |
| 161 | + if mask.shape != delta_phi.shape: |
| 162 | + raise ValueError( |
| 163 | + "baseline_mask must have the same shape as delta_phi; " |
| 164 | + f"got {mask.shape} vs {delta_phi.shape}." |
| 165 | + ) |
| 166 | + baseline_samples = delta_phi[mask] |
| 167 | + if baseline_samples.size == 0: |
| 168 | + raise ValueError( |
| 169 | + "baseline_mask selects no samples; cannot compute baseline statistics." |
| 170 | + ) |
| 171 | + mu = float(np.mean(baseline_samples)) |
| 172 | + sigma = float(np.std(baseline_samples, ddof=0)) |
| 173 | + return mu + n_sigma * sigma |
| 174 | + |
| 175 | + else: |
| 176 | + raise ValueError( |
| 177 | + f"Unknown method '{method}'. Supported methods: 'quantile', 'baseline'." |
| 178 | + ) |
| 179 | + |
| 180 | + |
| 181 | +# --------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 182 | +# 2. Regime shading intervals |
| 183 | +# --------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 184 | + |
| 185 | +class ShadingInterval(NamedTuple): |
| 186 | + """A contiguous block of time steps assigned to the same regime. |
| 187 | +
|
| 188 | + Attributes |
| 189 | + ---------- |
| 190 | + regime : str |
| 191 | + Regime label (one of ``"stable"``, ``"pre-instability"``, |
| 192 | + ``"instability"``, ``"recovery"``). |
| 193 | + start : int |
| 194 | + Index of the first time step in the interval (inclusive). |
| 195 | + stop : int |
| 196 | + Index one past the last time step in the interval (exclusive), |
| 197 | + matching Python slice semantics. The interval covers indices |
| 198 | + ``[start, stop)``. |
| 199 | + """ |
| 200 | + |
| 201 | + regime: str |
| 202 | + start: int |
| 203 | + stop: int |
| 204 | + |
| 205 | + |
| 206 | +def regime_shading_intervals(labels: np.ndarray) -> List[ShadingInterval]: |
| 207 | + """Convert a per-time-point regime label array into contiguous intervals. |
| 208 | +
|
| 209 | + Groups consecutive identical labels into :class:`ShadingInterval` records |
| 210 | + that can be passed directly to ``matplotlib.axes.Axes.axvspan`` (or any |
| 211 | + interval-based shading routine) for visualization of regime boundaries in |
| 212 | + the validation pipeline. |
| 213 | +
|
| 214 | + Parameters |
| 215 | + ---------- |
| 216 | + labels : array_like, shape (T,), dtype str or object |
| 217 | + Per-time-point regime strings as produced by |
| 218 | + :func:`~src.stage5_regime_transitions.detect_regimes.detect_regimes`. |
| 219 | + Each element must be one of ``"stable"``, ``"pre-instability"``, |
| 220 | + ``"instability"``, or ``"recovery"``. |
| 221 | +
|
| 222 | + Returns |
| 223 | + ------- |
| 224 | + intervals : list of :class:`ShadingInterval` |
| 225 | + Ordered list of non-overlapping contiguous regime intervals that |
| 226 | + together cover the full index range ``[0, T)``. The list is ordered |
| 227 | + by increasing *start* index. |
| 228 | +
|
| 229 | + Raises |
| 230 | + ------ |
| 231 | + ValueError |
| 232 | + If *labels* is not a 1-D array or is empty. |
| 233 | +
|
| 234 | + Examples |
| 235 | + -------- |
| 236 | + >>> import numpy as np |
| 237 | + >>> from src.stage5_regime_transitions.segmentation_utils import regime_shading_intervals |
| 238 | + >>> labels = np.array( |
| 239 | + ... ["stable"] * 4 + ["pre-instability"] * 3 + ["instability"] * 2 |
| 240 | + ... ) |
| 241 | + >>> intervals = regime_shading_intervals(labels) |
| 242 | + >>> [(iv.regime, iv.start, iv.stop) for iv in intervals] |
| 243 | + [('stable', 0, 4), ('pre-instability', 4, 7), ('instability', 7, 9)] |
| 244 | + """ |
| 245 | + labels = np.asarray(labels, dtype=object) |
| 246 | + if labels.ndim != 1: |
| 247 | + raise ValueError( |
| 248 | + f"labels must be a 1-D array; got shape {labels.shape}." |
| 249 | + ) |
| 250 | + if labels.size == 0: |
| 251 | + raise ValueError("labels array must not be empty.") |
| 252 | + |
| 253 | + intervals: List[ShadingInterval] = [] |
| 254 | + current_regime = labels[0] |
| 255 | + block_start = 0 |
| 256 | + |
| 257 | + for i in range(1, len(labels)): |
| 258 | + if labels[i] != current_regime: |
| 259 | + intervals.append(ShadingInterval(str(current_regime), block_start, i)) |
| 260 | + current_regime = labels[i] |
| 261 | + block_start = i |
| 262 | + |
| 263 | + # Close the final block. |
| 264 | + intervals.append(ShadingInterval(str(current_regime), block_start, len(labels))) |
| 265 | + |
| 266 | + return intervals |
| 267 | + |
| 268 | + |
| 269 | +# --------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 270 | +# 3. Transition event extraction |
| 271 | +# --------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 272 | + |
| 273 | +class TransitionEvent(NamedTuple): |
| 274 | + """A single regime-transition event. |
| 275 | +
|
| 276 | + Attributes |
| 277 | + ---------- |
| 278 | + from_regime : str |
| 279 | + Regime label at time step ``index - 1``. |
| 280 | + to_regime : str |
| 281 | + Regime label at time step ``index`` (the first step of the new regime). |
| 282 | + index : int |
| 283 | + Time-step index at which the transition occurs, i.e. the first index |
| 284 | + that belongs to the new regime. |
| 285 | + """ |
| 286 | + |
| 287 | + from_regime: str |
| 288 | + to_regime: str |
| 289 | + index: int |
| 290 | + |
| 291 | + |
| 292 | +def extract_transition_events(labels: np.ndarray) -> List[TransitionEvent]: |
| 293 | + """Extract regime-transition events from a per-time-point label array. |
| 294 | +
|
| 295 | + A transition event is recorded whenever adjacent time steps carry |
| 296 | + different regime labels. The returned list contains one |
| 297 | + :class:`TransitionEvent` per detected boundary, ordered by increasing |
| 298 | + *index*. |
| 299 | +
|
| 300 | + This function supports the manuscript's validation pipeline (Section 5 |
| 301 | + and 8.3) by providing a discrete, ordered representation of when the |
| 302 | + instability magnitude ΔΦ(t) crosses regime boundaries—enabling |
| 303 | + quantitative evaluation of detection lead times, false-positive rates, |
| 304 | + and regime-ordering statistics (manuscript Table 3). |
| 305 | +
|
| 306 | + Parameters |
| 307 | + ---------- |
| 308 | + labels : array_like, shape (T,), dtype str or object |
| 309 | + Per-time-point regime strings as produced by |
| 310 | + :func:`~src.stage5_regime_transitions.detect_regimes.detect_regimes`. |
| 311 | +
|
| 312 | + Returns |
| 313 | + ------- |
| 314 | + events : list of :class:`TransitionEvent` |
| 315 | + Ordered list of transition events. Empty if *labels* contains only |
| 316 | + a single regime throughout. |
| 317 | +
|
| 318 | + Raises |
| 319 | + ------ |
| 320 | + ValueError |
| 321 | + If *labels* is not a 1-D array or is empty. |
| 322 | +
|
| 323 | + Examples |
| 324 | + -------- |
| 325 | + >>> import numpy as np |
| 326 | + >>> from src.stage5_regime_transitions.segmentation_utils import extract_transition_events |
| 327 | + >>> labels = np.array( |
| 328 | + ... ["stable"] * 4 + ["pre-instability"] * 3 + ["instability"] * 2 |
| 329 | + ... ) |
| 330 | + >>> events = extract_transition_events(labels) |
| 331 | + >>> [(e.from_regime, e.to_regime, e.index) for e in events] |
| 332 | + [('stable', 'pre-instability', 4), ('pre-instability', 'instability', 7)] |
| 333 | + """ |
| 334 | + labels = np.asarray(labels, dtype=object) |
| 335 | + if labels.ndim != 1: |
| 336 | + raise ValueError( |
| 337 | + f"labels must be a 1-D array; got shape {labels.shape}." |
| 338 | + ) |
| 339 | + if labels.size == 0: |
| 340 | + raise ValueError("labels array must not be empty.") |
| 341 | + |
| 342 | + events: List[TransitionEvent] = [] |
| 343 | + for i in range(1, len(labels)): |
| 344 | + if labels[i] != labels[i - 1]: |
| 345 | + events.append( |
| 346 | + TransitionEvent( |
| 347 | + from_regime=str(labels[i - 1]), |
| 348 | + to_regime=str(labels[i]), |
| 349 | + index=i, |
| 350 | + ) |
| 351 | + ) |
| 352 | + return events |
0 commit comments