Using [this](https://github.com/hyunjimoon/defense-reliability/blob/workflow/R/2_Theta_bar_Y/DtrMngSep/DMSep_SBC.R) SBC backbone in workflow branch, verify dgp of mixture model. Especially understand why it has good elpd but parallel forecasts. Once this is done, current two models hierarchical _M, _I could also be verified.