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docs/source/models/risk_exposures/child_growth_failure/wasting/wasting_state_exposure_with_complicated_sam/index.rst

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@@ -404,16 +404,12 @@ The process of generating draw-level values for all wasting transitions is outli
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- Ilins-Dyad: LNS supplementation
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- SAS_LBW: LBW babies
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3. At the sex, age, and draw-specific level, randomly sample values from the uncertainty distribution for the following parameters:
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3. At the sex, age, and draw-specific level, randomly sample values from the uncertainty distribution for the below parameters.
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.. note::
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For parameters with a "widened value" listed in the table, if after N tries sampling from the "first-pass values" the draw has not converged,
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the calibration will begin sampling all parameters from their "widened" distributions for another N tries.
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- Case fatality rate of uncomplicated SAM
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- Case fatality rate of complicated SAM
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- Time to treatment initialization for complicated SAM
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- Inpatient stabilization time for complicated SAM
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- Complicated SAM fraction
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- Baseline coverage of AM treatment (separately for MAM, outpatient SAM, and inpatient SAM)
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- Proportion of cases that deteriorate from uncomplicated to complicated SAM during outpatient treatment
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- Incidence rates from the KI database for transitions into mild wasting, MAM, and uncomplicated SAM
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.. list-table:: Calibration input parameters
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:header-rows: 1
@@ -423,24 +419,24 @@ The process of generating draw-level values for all wasting transitions is outli
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- Widened value
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- Source
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* - Daily mortality probability of uncomplicated SAM
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- (0.02 / (112 * 365.25), 0.01 / (112 * 365.25), 0.03 / (112 * 365.25))
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- (0.02 / (112 * 365.25), 0.005 / (112 * 365.25), 0.035 / (112 * 365.25))
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- `Bitew 2020 <https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32631260/>`_ (Ethiopian meta-analysis); `Bailey 2020 <https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1003192>` (COMPAS Trial)
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- normal with mean ``0.02 / (112 * 365.25)`` and 95% CI (``0.01 / (112 * 365.25)``, ``0.03 / (112 * 365.25)``)
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- normal with mean ``0.02 / (112 * 365.25)`` and 95% CI (``0.005 / (112 * 365.25)``, ``0.035 / (112 * 365.25)``)
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- `Bitew 2020 <https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32631260/>`_ (Ethiopian meta-analysis); `Bailey 2020 <https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1003192>`_ (COMPAS Trial)
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* - Case fatality rate of complicated SAM
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- (0.157, 0.104, 0.210)
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- normal with mean 0.157 and 95% CI (0.104, 0.210)
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- uniform (0.036, 0.414)
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- `Karunaratne 2020 <https://pmc-ncbi-nlm-nih-gov.offcampus.lib.washington.edu/articles/PMC7528552/>`_ (meta-analysis, primarily Africa)
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* - Time to treatment initialization for complicated SAM
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- uniform (3, 21)
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-
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- Assumption
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* - Inpatient stabilization time for complicated SAM
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- (6, 5, 7)
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- normal with mean 6 and 95% CI (5, 7)
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-
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- `Joseph 2023 (Large retrospective review in Northern Nigeria) <https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41043-023-00352-y?fromPaywallRec=false>`_
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* - Complicated SAM fraction
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- (0.087, 0.067, 0.107)
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- (.01, .1)
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- normal with mean 0.087 and 95% CI (0.067, 0.107)
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- uniform (0.01, 0.1)
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- `UNICEF 2023 report <https://www.unicef.org/nigeria/media/7196/file/Nigeria%20Consolidated%20Emergency%20Report%20.pdf>`_ in northern Nigeria
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* - Baseline coverage of MAM treatment
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- uniform (0, 0.2)

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