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Syl Lutze
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Updating Alzheimer's Model Runs
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docs/source/models/concept_models/vivarium_alzheimers/concept_model.rst

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@@ -681,6 +681,24 @@ scenario, and input draw.
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- * Locations: USA, China, Brazil
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- Stratify disease state transitions and person-time by treatment
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- Add observer for months on treatment
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* - 11.1
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- Bugfix: change to new artifact, observer bugfix
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- Baseline, Alternative Scenario 2
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- * Locations: USA, China, Brazil
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- Stratify disease state transitions and person-time by treatment
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- Add observer for months on treatment
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* - 12.0
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- Updates to testing model
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- Baseline, Alternative Scenario 1, Alternative Scenario 2
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- * Locations: USA, China, Brazil
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- Stratify disease state transitions and person-time by treatment
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- Default
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* - 12.1
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- Updates to testing constants: sensitivity and elgibility age
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- Baseline, Alternative Scenario 1, Alternative Scenario 2
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- * Locations: USA, China, Brazil
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- Stratify disease state transitions and person-time by treatment
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- Default
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5.2 V & V Tracking
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------------------------
@@ -1270,6 +1288,42 @@ scenario, and input draw.
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corresponds to the proportions in the .csv file from the
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dementia modelers; I predict approximately a 69% increase in the
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all-ages prevalence
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- * V&V checks still passing for mortality, comparison to artifact
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* Increased prevalence and incidence by expected factor
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- * `Disease transition rates, mortality, incidence, prevalence
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<https://github.com/ihmeuw/vivarium_research_alzheimers/blob/main/verification_and_validation/2026_01_12_model10.0_vv.ipynb>`__
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* `Treatment
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<https://github.com/ihmeuw/vivarium_research_alzheimers/blob/main/verification_and_validation/2026_01_12_model10.0_vv_treatment.ipynb>`__
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* - 11.0
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- * Re-run model 5.0 V&V notebook (incidence, prevalence, mortality,
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etc.)
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* Check that the new observer for months on treatment works as expected and the months on treatment is uniformly distributed between 1 and 8
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* Check that changes in treatment ramp and efficacy are implemented
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- * Incidence, prevalence, mortality all look as expected. Artifact used was incorrect, need to update to Model 10.0 artifact data.
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* Observer for months to discontinuation has a bug, need to fix
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* Efficacy looks as expected
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* Treatment ramp up is unknown if changes are correct as changes to testing have not been implemented yet
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- * `Disease transition rates, mortality, incidence, prevalence
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<https://github.com/ihmeuw/vivarium_research_alzheimers/blob/main/verification_and_validation/2026_01_26_model11.0_vv.ipynb>`__
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* `Treatment
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<https://github.com/ihmeuw/vivarium_research_alzheimers/blob/main/verification_and_validation/2026_01_27_model11.0_vv_treatment.ipynb>`__
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* - 11.1
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- * Re-run model 5.0 V&V notebook (incidence, prevalence, mortality,
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etc.)
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* Confirm updates to the new observer for months on treatment work as expected
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-
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-
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* - 12.0
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- * NOT running V&V on Model 12.0, will instead run on Model 12.1
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- * N/A
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- * N/A
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* - 12.1
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- * Re-run model 5.0 V&V notebook (incidence, prevalence, mortality,
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etc.)
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* Check that testing and treatment only start at age 65
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* Check that ramp up for testing and treatment is aligned to new input values
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* Check that the new sensitivity value (50%) is implemented correctly
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* Check that simulants are being retested every 3-5 years instead of every 3 years
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