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.quarto/idx/body/00_intro.ipynb.json

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.quarto/idx/body/test_AB_test.ipynb.json

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.quarto/xref/53dd7b6d

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{"entries":[],"headings":["课程内容","参考资料","python-语言","数据分析","金融","因果推断和机器学习","因果推断和机器学习-1","分析工具"],"options":{"chapters":true}}
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{"entries":[],"headings":["课程内容","参考资料","ai-tools","python-语言","数据分析","金融","因果推断和机器学习","分析工具"],"options":{"chapters":true}}

body/00_intro.ipynb

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"source": [
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"## 参考资料\n",
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"\n",
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"### AI tools\n",
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"\n",
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"- [Awesome AI for Economists](https://github.com/hanlulong/awesome-ai-for-economists)\n",
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" - A curated list of AI tools, libraries, and resources for economics research, teaching, and policy analysis.\n",
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"- Gábor Békés. (2026). **Doing Data Analysis with AI**. [Link](https://gabors-data-analysis.com/ai-course/).\n",
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"\n",
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"Author\n",
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"Gábor Békés, Central European University (Austria, EU)\n",
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"\n",
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"Published\n",
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"January 30, 2026\n",
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"\n",
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"### Python 语言\n",
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"- Allen Downey, 2012. Think Python: How to Think Like a Computer Scientist. [-PDF-](https://greenteapress.com/thinkpython/thinkpython.pdf)\n",
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" - Python 入门,通俗易懂\n",
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"- Johansson, R., 2024, Numerical Python: Scientific Computing and Data Science Applications with Numpy, SciPy and Matplotlib. Apress Berkeley, CA. [Link](https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/979-8-8688-0413-7), [PDF](https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/979-8-8688-0413-7.pdf) (需要用校园 ID 登录), [github](https://github.com/Apress/Numerical-Python-3rd-ed/fork)\n",
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" - Python 入门,绘图,科学计算,偏微分方程,统计和机器学习初步\n",
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" - CHAPTER 4 Plotting and Visualization, 介绍绘图的基本元素. \n",
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"\n",
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"- QuantEcon. [Link](https://quantecon.org/lectures/), [github](https://github.com/QuantEcon)\n",
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" - QuantEcon is a nonprofit organization dedicated to development and documentation of open source computational tools for economics, econometrics, and decision making.\n",
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"\n",
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"### 数据分析\n",
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"\n",
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" - 数据分析 + 可视化 + 机器学习\n",
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" - 提供了 Colab版本,可以无需安装 Python,直接在线运行\n",
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" - 本地已经下载:**VanderPlas_2023_PDSH_Python_Data_Science_Handbook-2E.pdf**\n",
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"- [Github 仓库:数据分析](https://github.com/search?q=Data+science+created%3A%3E2024-01-01+&type=repositories&p=2)\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"### 金融\n",
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"\n",
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"\n"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"id": "cebf60fc",
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"### 因果推断和机器学习\n",
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"\n",
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"- {before} Facure, Matheus (2022). Causal Inference for The Brave and True. Online: https://matheusfacure.github.io/python-causality-handbook/landing-page.html. GitHub: https://github.com/matheusfacure/python-causality-handbook.(覆盖 IV、DID、SDID、PSM、Matching、Panel、SCM、RDD;包含完整 Jupyter Notebook;使用 causalml 与 dowhy。)\n",
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"- {after} Facure, Matheus (2022). Causal Inference for The Brave and True. [Link](https://matheusfacure.github.io/python-causality-handbook/landing-page.html). [GitHub](https://github.com/matheusfacure/python-causality-handbook).\n",
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" - Note: 覆盖 IV、DID、SDID、PSM、Matching、Panel、SCM、RDD;包含完整 Jupyter Notebook;使用 `causalml` 与 `dowhy`。\n",
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"\n",
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"- James, G., Witten, D., Hastie, T., & Tibshirani, R. (2023). An Introduction to Statistical Learning: With Applications in Python (ISLP). Springer. Website: https://www.statlearning.com/. Python 资源与实验:https://intro-stat-learning.github.io/ISLP/,GitHub: https://github.com/intro-stat-learning/ISLP_labs。PDF: https://bayanbox.ir/view/1060725898744657072/An-Introduction-to-Statistical-Learning-with-Applications-in-Python.pdf\n",
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"\n",
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"- Tatsat, H., Puri, S., & Lookabaugh, B. (2020). Machine Learning and Data Science Blueprints for Finance. O'Reilly Media. PDF: https://soclibrary.futa.edu.ng/books/Machine%20Learning%20and%20Data%20Science%20Blueprints%20for%20Finance%20(Hariom%20Tatsat,%20Sahil%20Puri,%20Brad%20Lookabaugh)%20(Z-Library).pdf。GitHub: https://github.com/tatsath/fin-ml,案例可在 Binder 在线运行: https://mybinder.org/v2/gh/tatsath/fin-ml/master。\n",
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"\n",
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"- Chollet, François (2021). Deep Learning with Python (2nd ed.). Manning. ISBN: 9781617296864. 代码示例: https://www.manning.com/books/deep-learning-with-python-second-edition。GitHub: https://github.com/fchollet/deep-learning-with-python-notebooks。\n",
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"- Buduma, N., Buduma, N., & Papa, J. (2022). Fundamentals of deep learning. [-PDF-](https://webfiles.amrita.edu/2025/02/deep-learning-material-dept-ece-ase-blr-1.pdf)\n",
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"\n",
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"- Goodfellow, I., Bengio, Y., & Courville, A. (2016). Deep Learning. MIT Press. URL: <http://www.deeplearningbook.org>, [TensorFlow-Excercises](https://www.tensorflow.org/tutorials?hl=zh-cn), [Slides](https://www.deeplearningbook.org/lecture_slides.html), [-PDF1-](http://alvarestech.com/temp/deep/Deep%20Learning%20by%20Ian%20Goodfellow,%20Yoshua%20Bengio,%20Aaron%20Courville%20(z-lib.org).pdf), [-PDF2-](https://github.com/janishar/mit-deep-learning-book-pdf/blob/master/complete-book-pdf/Ian%20Goodfellow%2C%20Yoshua%20Bengio%2C%20Aaron%20Courville%20-%20Deep%20Learning%20(2017%2C%20MIT).pdf)\n"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"id": "d8f75925",
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"source": [
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"### 因果推断和机器学习\n",
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"\n",
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"* Nick Huntington-Klein. **The Effect**: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality, [Link](https://theeffectbook.net/), [github](https://github.com/NickCH-K/causalbook), [Slides-Causality](https://github.com/NickCH-K/CausalitySlides), [Slides-Econometrics](https://github.com/NickCH-K/EconometricsSlides)\n",
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" - 以因果图和反事实框架为基础,介绍了一些常用的因果推断方法,包括:DID,TWFE,SCM,RDD,PSM,Matching,Panel 等;配有在线阅读版本和 GitHub 代码仓库。 \n",
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"\n",
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"* Facure, Matheus (2022). Causal Inference for The Brave and True. [Link](https://matheusfacure.github.io/python-causality-handbook/landing-page.html). [GitHub](https://github.com/matheusfacure/python-causality-handbook).\n",
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" - Note: 覆盖 IV、DID、SDID、PSM、Matching、Panel、SCM、RDD;包含完整 Jupyter Notebook;使用 `causalml` 与 `dowhy`。\n",
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"* James, G., Witten, D., Hastie, T., & Tibshirani, R. (2023). An Introduction to Statistical Learning: With Applications in Python (ISLP). Springer. [Link](https://www.statlearning.com/). [Python 资源与实验](https://intro-stat-learning.github.io/ISLP/). [GitHub](https://github.com/intro-stat-learning/ISLP_labs). [PDF](https://bayanbox.ir/view/1060725898744657072/An-Introduction-to-Statistical-Learning-with-Applications-in-Python.pdf).\n",

body/01_01_install_anaconda.ipynb

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"id": "29a3ebe9",
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"#### Python 和 Jupyter 插件\n",
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"### Python 和 Jupyter 插件\n",
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"\n",
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"为了能够在 VScode 中使用 Jupyter Notebook 运行 Python 代码,并借助 AI 提升工作效率,你需要安装以下插件:\n",
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"\n",
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"id": "f5b2c4cf",
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"#### Markdown 插件\n",
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"### Markdown 插件\n",
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"\n",
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"VScode 支持 Markdown 语法,可以用来编写文档、笔记等。安装 Markdown 插件可以增强 VScode 对 Markdown 的支持,比如预览、语法高亮、制作幻灯片等。多数情况下,安装如下三个插件就可以满足需求:\n",
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"\n",
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"你也可以点击 VScode 左边栏中的 `四个小方块` 图标,在搜索框中输入 `markdown`,酌情安装其他插件。"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"id": "8740de3b",
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"#### 其他插件\n",
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"\n",
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"根据个人需求,可以安装其他插件来增强 VScode 的功能,比如:\n",
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"\n",
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"- [Data Wrangler](https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/items?itemName=DataWrangler) (可选):表格呈现效果很美观。\n",
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"- [Rainbow CSV](https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/items?itemName=mechatroner.rainbow-csv) (by *mechatroner*) 和 [CSV](https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/items?itemName=ReprEng.csv) (by *ReprEng*):CSV 文件的高亮显示和表格预览功能很棒。"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"id": "26526398",
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"metadata": {},
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"#### Stata 插件 \n",
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"### Stata 插件 \n",
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"\n",
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"::: {.callout-important}\n",
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"### 提示!\n",
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"要顺利运行 Stata 代码,还需要安装 `nbstata` 包,下文将详细介绍。\n"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"id": "7fe2a2e3",
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"### 其他插件\n",
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"\n",
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"根据个人需求,可以安装其他插件来增强 VScode 的功能,比如:\n",
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"\n",
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"- [Data Wrangler](https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/items?itemName=DataWrangler) (可选):表格呈现效果很美观。\n",
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"- [Rainbow CSV](https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/items?itemName=mechatroner.rainbow-csv) (by *mechatroner*) 和 [CSV](https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/items?itemName=ReprEng.csv) (by *ReprEng*):CSV 文件的高亮显示和表格预览功能很棒。"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"source": [
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"## 配置 Stata 环境:nbstata\n",
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"\n",
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"为了在 VS Code 中的 `.ipynb` 文档中直接运行 Stata 代码,我们可以借助 [nbstata](https://hugetim.github.io/nbstata/) 扩展包 (注意:`nbstata` 是 Python 包,不是 VScode 插件)。下面介绍如何在已有 Python + Jupyter 环境基础上完成配置。\n",
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"如需在 VS Code 中的 `.ipynb` 文档中运行 Stata 代码,我们可以借助 [nbstata](https://hugetim.github.io/nbstata/) 扩展包 (注意:`nbstata` 是 Python 包,不是 VScode 插件)。下面介绍如何在已有 Python + Jupyter 环境基础上完成配置。\n",
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"\n",
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"::: {.callout-important}\n",
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"### 前提条件:你已经完成以下配置\n",
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"- Stata 的安装路径中不要包含中文字符和空格 (在 Stata 中输入 `sysdir` 可以查看你的 Stata 安装路径);\n",
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"- Stata 安装目录下有 `STATA.LIC` 文件:该文件是 Stata 的授权文件,里面记录了 Stata 软件的序列号等信息。\n",
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" - 有些用户使用的不是官方发布的 Stata 版本,或没有正确完成安装程序,都会导致该文件缺失,从而导致 `nbstata` 无法正常工作。\n",
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"- `nbstata` 是在 Python 3.12 版本下开发和测试的,如果你在 Python 3.13 或更高版本环境下安装了 `nbstata`,可能会遇到兼容性问题,导致无法正常使用。因此,建议大家创建一个专属于 Stata 的虚拟环境。详情参见 **nbstata 安装和使用常见问题 &#x1F34E;** 小节。\n",
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"\n",
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"- `nbstata` 是在 Python 3.12 版本下开发和测试的,如果你在 Python 3.13 或更高版本环境下安装了 `nbstata`,可能会遇到兼容性问题,导致无法正常使用。因此,建议大家创建一个专属于 Stata 的虚拟环境,并在其中安装 Python 3.12 或更低的版本。详情参见 **nbstata 安装和使用常见问题 &#x1F34E;** 小节。\n",
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"\n"
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]
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{
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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"source": [
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"### 配置步骤\n",
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"\n",
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"::: {.callout-important}\n",
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"### 注意\n",
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"### 注意\n",
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"\n",
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"- 下面的配置步骤需要在 VS Code 的终端中完成,而不是在 Jupyter Notebook 中。\n",
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"- 打开 VS Code 的终端的快捷键为 `Ctrl + ~`。详见 [Python 安装常见问题](01_03_install_FAQs.html)。\n",
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"- 如果按下面的方法无法配置成功,可以参阅 [nbstata User Guide](https://hugetim.github.io/nbstata/user_guide.html) 和 [Jupyter + Stata 配置方法](https://industry.pengxianzhe.org/posts/jupyter-stata/#sec-vscode) (第 4 小节)。也可以打开 [豆包](https://www.douban.com/group/topic/297885930/),把你的错误代码截图和粘贴给它,多数情况下你都能在它的引导下完成配置。\n",
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"- 我的学生倪璐同学写了一份详细的笔记,也可以参考:[如何在 VScode 的 Jupyter Notebook 中创建 Stata 代码单元](https://github.com/arlionn/Financial-Econometrics/blob/main/FAQs/How-to-create-a-Stata-code-cell_by-NiLu.md)。\n",
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"\n",
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":::\n",
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"\n"
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]
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"按快捷键 `Ctrl + ~` 打开 VS Code 的**终端**,依次执行以下命令:\n",
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"\n",
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"```bash\n",
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"C:\\Users\\Administrator\\.config\\nbstata\\nbstata.conf\n",
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"```\n",
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"\n",
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"你可以到此文件夹下,用 VScode 打开 `nbstata.conf` 文件,查看或修改配置。我的配置如下:\n",
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"你可以定位到上述路径,用 VScode 打开 `nbstata.conf` 文件,查看或修改配置。我的配置如下:\n",
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"\n",
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"```py\n",
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"[nbstata]\n",
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"stata_dir = D:\\stata17\n",
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"edition = mp\n",
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"splash = False\n",
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"graph_format = png\n",
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"graph_format = png # 可选值:png, svg, pystata\n",
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"graph_width = 7.5in\n",
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"graph_height = 5.0in\n",
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"\n"
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]
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"### nbstata 扩展信息\n",
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"\n",
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"有关 nbstata 的更多信息和使用方法,参见:\n",
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"\n",
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"- [nbstata 文档](https://hugetim.github.io/nbstata/),以及 [nbstata User Guide](https://hugetim.github.io/nbstata/user_guide.html)\n",
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"- [Jupyter + Stata 配置方法](https://industry.pengxianzhe.org/posts/jupyter-stata/#sec-vscode),第 4 小节。\n",
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"- 黄晨晨, 2023, [Jupyter Notebook 与 Stata 交互:nbstata](https://www.lianxh.cn/details/1309.html)\n",
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"- 韩少真, 展金永, 2020, [珠联璧合 I:Jupyter Notebook 和 Stata 关联 (windows系统)](https://www.lianxh.cn/details/114.html)。这个推文介绍了如何在原生 Jupyter Notebook 中安装 `nbstata` 包。"
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" ```"
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{
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"### nbstata 扩展信息\n",
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"\n",
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"有关 nbstata 的更多信息和使用方法,参见:\n",
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"\n",
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"- [nbstata 文档](https://hugetim.github.io/nbstata/),以及 [nbstata User Guide](https://hugetim.github.io/nbstata/user_guide.html)\n",
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"- [Jupyter + Stata 配置方法](https://industry.pengxianzhe.org/posts/jupyter-stata/#sec-vscode),第 4 小节。\n",
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"- 黄晨晨, 2023, [Jupyter Notebook 与 Stata 交互:nbstata](https://www.lianxh.cn/details/1309.html)\n",
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"- 韩少真, 展金永, 2020, [珠联璧合 I:Jupyter Notebook 和 Stata 关联 (windows系统)](https://www.lianxh.cn/details/114.html)。这个推文介绍了如何在原生 Jupyter Notebook 中安装 `nbstata` 包。"
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]
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},
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body/01_04_markdown.md

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```markdown
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---
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size: 16:9 # 宽版:4:3
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paginate: true
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theme: default
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size: 16:9
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paginate: true
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lang: zh-CN
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math: mathjax
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header: '[lianxh.cn](https://www.lianxh.cn/news/46917f1076104.html)'
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footer: '[lianxh.cn](https://www.lianxh.cn)&ensp;|&ensp;[Books](https://www.lianxh.cn/Books.html)'
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style: |
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section {
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font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", "PingFang SC", sans-serif;
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font-size: 22px;
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line-height: 1.45;
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padding: 48px 56px 40px 56px;
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}
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h1 { color: #222; font-size: 34px; }
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h2 { color: #1f7a1f; font-size: 30px; }
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h3 { color: #1f4e79; font-size: 26px; }
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pre { font-size: 20px; }
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section::after {
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content: attr(data-marpit-pagination) '/' attr(data-marpit-pagination-total);
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font-size: 14px;
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}
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---
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<style>
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/*一级标题局中*/
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section.lead h1 {
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text-align: center; /*其他参数:left, right*/
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}
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section {
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font-size: 22px; /* 正文字号 */
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}
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h1 {
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color: blackyellow; /* 标题的颜色 */
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/*font-size: 28px; */ /* 标题的字号, 其它标题也可以这样修改 */
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}
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h2 {
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color: green;
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}
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h3 {
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color: darkblue;
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}
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h4 {
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color: brown;
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}
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/* 右下角添加页码 */
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section::after {
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content: attr(data-marpit-pagination) '/' attr(data-marpit-pagination-total);
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}
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header,
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footer {
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position: absolute;
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left: 50px;
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right: 50px;
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height: 25px;
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}
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/* 调整图片与文本之间的间距 */
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section img {
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margin-right: 10px; /* 设置图片右侧的间距 */
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margin-left: 10px; /* 设置图片左侧的间距 */
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}
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/* 设置正文区域的边距,确保文本能更紧凑地放置 */
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section {
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#padding-right: 20px; /* 设置右侧边距 */
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#padding-left: 20px; /* 设置左侧边距 */
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}
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/* ====== 新增:设置代码块字号 ====== */
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/* 默认代码块字号 */
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pre {
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font-size: 22px;
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}
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/* 可选类:小字号代码块 */
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.small-code pre {
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font-size: 12px;
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}
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/* 可选类:大字号代码块 */
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.large-code pre {
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font-size: 20px;
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}
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</style>
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<!--顶部文字-->
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[lianxh.cn](https://www.lianxh.cn/news/46917f1076104.html)
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<br>
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<!--封面图片-->
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![bg right:50% w:400 brightness:. sepia:50%](https://fig-lianxh.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com/20220722114227.png)
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<!--幻灯片标题-->
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### 连享会 · 2025 暑期班 · 高级班
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# B1. 动态面板门槛模型
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<br>
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<br>
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<!--作者信息-->
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[连玉君](https://www.lianxh.cn) (中山大学)
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arlionn@163.com
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<br>
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<!-- _headingDivider: 2 -->
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<!-- backgroundColor: #FFFFF9 -->

body/data_01_get_data.ipynb

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" - 美国政府开放数据平台,涵盖农业、气候、教育、能源等众多领域,数据权威且更新及时。\n",
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"- [awesome-public-datasets](https://github.com/awesomedata/awesome-public-datasets)\n",
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" - GitHub 开放数据集列表 \n",
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"- [openecon.ai](https://openecon.ai/ \"https://openecon.ai\")\n",
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" - Query economic data from FRED, World Bank, IMF, and 10+ sources using plain English. MCP server + web app + API.\n",
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"- [OSF](https://osf.io/)\n",
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" - OSF 是 Open Science Framework 的缩写,是一个开放科学平台,研究人员可以在上面存储、分享和管理他们的研究数据、代码、文档和其他相关材料。\n",
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"\n",
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"### 国内数据平台\n",
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"- [中国科学院科学数据中心](https://www.casdc.cn/home)\n",

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