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Flag potential lineages for new Nextstrain clades #71

@joverlee521

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@joverlee521

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Requested by @trvrb in today's forecasting-automation meeting:

Separately, I’m still running Mathematica version of fitting linear regression to logit-transformed frequencies to demarcate our >0.05 per day growth in frequency threshold

  • Could we write a small script to scan forecast-ncov results for this threshold? It really should be clade-in-question vs “other” however.
  • Should be able to convert relative growth advantage to per-day growth rate (site: delta in models)
  • Multiply Pango lineage frequency by relative fitness will give mean fitness
  • Per day relative fitness is in the model already

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