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Copy file name to clipboardExpand all lines: docs/book/12_options_volatility.md
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### 12.1.1 Early Attempts at Options Valuation
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```mermaid
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journey
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title Options Trader Learning Curve
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section Beginner Phase
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Learn Greeks: 3: Trader
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Understand Black-Scholes: 4: Trader
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section Intermediate Phase
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Trade simple strategies: 3: Trader
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Get volatility crushed: 1: Trader
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section Advanced Phase
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Study vol surfaces: 4: Trader
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Develop intuition: 5: Trader
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section Expert Phase
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Master complex strategies: 5: Trader
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Consistent profits: 5: Trader
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```
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Options have existed since ancient times—Aristotle describes Thales profiting from olive press options in 600 BCE. But rigorous pricing remained elusive until the 20th century.
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> **📊 Empirical Result**
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Copy file name to clipboardExpand all lines: docs/book/13_ai_sentiment_trading.md
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Twitter's 2006 launch created an unprecedented public sentiment dataset. Bollen, Mao, and Zeng (2011) analyzed 9.8 million tweets to predict stock market direction with 87.6% accuracy using OpinionFinder and GPOMS mood trackers. The finding was controversial—many replication attempts failed—but it sparked explosive growth in social sentiment trading.
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```mermaid
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timeline
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title NLP/AI Evolution in Finance
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1990s : Keyword sentiment (simple)
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: Dictionary-based approaches
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2000s : Machine learning classifiers
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: Support Vector Machines
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2013 : Word2Vec embeddings
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: Semantic representations
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2018 : BERT transformers
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: Contextual understanding
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2023 : GPT-4 financial analysis
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: Zero-shot classification
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2025 : Multimodal sentiment
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: Text + audio + video analysis
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```
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**Key developments:**
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```mermaid
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>
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> Advantage over bag-of-words: Handles synonyms—"profit" and "earnings" have similar vectors even if one wasn't in training data. Provides semantic generalization.
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```mermaid
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mindmap
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root((Sentiment Analysis Pipeline))
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Data Collection
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APIs
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Web scraping
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Social media feeds
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Preprocessing
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Cleaning
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Tokenization
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Normalization
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Feature Extraction
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Embeddings
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Keywords
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N-grams
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Classification
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Positive
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Negative
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Neutral
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Signal Generation
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Thresholds
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Aggregation
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Filtering
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```
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### 13.3.4 Transformers and BERT: Contextual Representations
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**BERT** (Devlin et al., 2019): Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers.
Copy file name to clipboardExpand all lines: docs/book/17_whale_copy_trading.md
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**Implication**: When detecting whale consensus (multiple whales buying same token), discount clustered wallets. If 3 whales buy but 2 are clustered, true consensus is only 2 whales, not 3.
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