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Sobol sampling isn't independent across multiple posteriors #2658

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@pvasu

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Discussed in #2655

Originally posted by pvasu December 16, 2024

Sobol sampling doesn't work properly on a PosteriorList: sobol base samples are built separately for each posterior, but they aren't independent.

Here's an example:

import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import torch
from botorch.posteriors import GPyTorchPosterior, PosteriorList
from gpytorch.distributions.multivariate_normal import MultivariateNormal
from botorch.sampling import get_sampler

mvns = [
    MultivariateNormal(torch.tensor([0.0]), torch.tensor([[1.0]])) for _ in range(2)
]
posterior = PosteriorList(*[GPyTorchPosterior(mvn) for mvn in mvns])

sampler = get_sampler(posterior, torch.Size([512]))
samples = sampler(posterior).squeeze()

plt.scatter(samples[:, 0], samples[:, 1])

image

Whereas in an older version of Botorch, 0.6.6, constructing a Sobol sampler on a posterior list works properly:

from botorch.sampling import SobolQMCNormalSampler

sampler = SobolQMCNormalSampler(512)
samples = sampler(posterior).squeeze()

plt.scatter(samples[:, 0], samples[:, 1])

image

As @saitcakmak pointed out in this discussion, the problem boils down to two sobol sequences produced by draw_sobol_normal_samples not being independent.

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