Epidemiology of the early COVID-19 epidemic in Orange County, California: comparison of predictors of test positivity, mortality, and seropositivity

Authors

*Daniel M. Parker¹; ^φTim Bruckner¹; Verónica M. Vieira¹; Catalina Medina¹; Vladimir Minin¹; Philip L. Felgner¹; Allisa Dratch²; Matthew Zahn²; Scott M. Bartell¹; ^φBernadette Boden-Albala¹

1. University of California, Irvine, California, U.S.A.
2. Orange County Health Care Agency, Santa Ana, California, U.S.A.

*Corresponding author
^φTB and BBA were PIs for the serological survey. BBA oversaw the data exchange between UCI and the OCHCA as well.

Daniel M. Parker: dparker1@hs.uci.edu
Tim Bruckner: tim.bruckner@uci.edu
Verónica M. Vieira: vvieira@uci.edu
Catalina Medina: catalmm1@uci.edu
Vladimir minin: vminin@uci.edu
Philip L. Felgner: pfelgner@hs.uci.edu
Allisa Dratch: ADratch@ochca.com
Matthew Zahn: MZahn@ochca.com
Scott M. Bartell: sbartell@uci.edu
Bernadette Boden-Albala: bbodenal@hs.uci.edu

Content

Published in Emerging Infectious Disease.

The model equations, graphs, and tables for the analyses performed can be found:

• Factors associated with testing positive for SARS-CoV2 in Orange County
• Factors associated with mortality among those who tested positive for SARS-CoV2 in Orange County
• Factors associated with seroprevelance of SARS-CoV2 in Orange County

Code can be found in the corresponding .Rmd files in the analysis folder.

Data

• The data for these investigations came from Orange County Public Health Department and may be available upon request.
• Estimates for zip code level variables such as median income are available under the "data/zip-code-data" folder.
• Hospital bed data is available from CA.gov