-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 0
Expand file tree
/
Copy pathpolicy_brief.html
More file actions
12 lines (12 loc) · 1.51 KB
/
Copy pathpolicy_brief.html
File metadata and controls
12 lines (12 loc) · 1.51 KB
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
<html><head><meta charset="utf-8"><title>Policy Brief</title><style>body{font-family:Arial,sans-serif;max-width:900px;margin:40px auto;line-height:1.55;color:#1f1f1f}h1,h2{color:#17233c}.note{background:#f4f1ea;padding:14px;border-left:4px solid #c00000}</style></head><body>
<h1>Bolivia's Productive Capabilities Trap</h1>
<p class="note">This brief is generated from local data only. It is an analytical screen, not a sector investment recommendation.</p>
<h2>Diagnosis</h2>
<p>Bolivia's 2023 export basket remains concentrated and resource-heavy. The recomputed indicators show ECI -1.236, diversity of 82 RCA products, HHI 0.124, and primary-product export share of 62.7%.</p>
<h2>Evidence</h2>
<p>The opportunity module scores 1,138 products where Bolivia does not have RCA. Under conservative thresholds, 1,122 classify as long shots and 16 as low-value extensions. No product meets the strict quick-win or strategic-bet thresholds.</p>
<h2>Policy Implications</h2>
<ul><li>Focus on capability-building around adjacent activities.</li><li>Use feasibility studies before converting ranked products into policy priorities.</li><li>Balance density with complexity to avoid both unrealistic leaps and low-value lock-in.</li><li>Invest in standards, logistics, technical skills, export intelligence, and regional coordination.</li></ul>
<h2>Limits</h2>
<p>The results are based on product-level trade data and observed associations. They do not prove causal effects and do not replace firm-level or sector-level feasibility work.</p>
</body></html>