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chore: v0.6.7.dev1#630

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Yibei990826 merged 1 commit intomainfrom
v0.6.7.dev_pypi
Apr 11, 2025
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chore: v0.6.7.dev1#630
Yibei990826 merged 1 commit intomainfrom
v0.6.7.dev_pypi

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Experiment Results

Experiment 1: air-passengers

Description:

variable experiment
h 12
season_length 12
freq MS
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 12.6793 11.0623 47.8333 76
mape 0.027 0.0232 0.0999 0.1425
mse 213.936 199.132 2571.33 10604.2
total_time 0.8558 0.6034 0.0046 0.0036

Plot:

Experiment 2: air-passengers

Description:

variable experiment
h 24
season_length 12
freq MS
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 58.1031 58.4587 71.25 115.25
mape 0.1257 0.1267 0.1552 0.2358
mse 4040.22 4110.79 5928.17 18859.2
total_time 0.5115 0.461 0.0038 0.0036

Plot:

Experiment 3: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable experiment
h 24
season_length 24
freq H
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 178.293 268.121 269.23 1331.02
mape 0.0234 0.0311 0.0304 0.1692
mse 121588 219457 213677 4.68961e+06
total_time 2.3508 3.2973 0.0051 0.0044

Plot:

Experiment 4: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable experiment
h 168
season_length 24
freq H
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 465.497 346.972 398.956 1119.26
mape 0.062 0.0436 0.0512 0.1583
mse 835021 403760 656723 3.17316e+06
total_time 0.5444 0.6668 0.0049 0.0045

Plot:

Experiment 5: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable experiment
h 336
season_length 24
freq H
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 558.649 459.757 602.926 1340.95
mape 0.0697 0.0565 0.0787 0.17
mse 1.22721e+06 739114 1.61572e+06 6.04619e+06
total_time 0.8187 0.4972 0.0054 0.0049

Plot:

@Yibei990826 Yibei990826 marked this pull request as ready for review April 10, 2025 22:16
@Yibei990826 Yibei990826 merged commit 7f07c63 into main Apr 11, 2025
20 checks passed
@Yibei990826 Yibei990826 deleted the v0.6.7.dev_pypi branch April 11, 2025 05:30
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2 participants