[CHORE] Bumps packages versions

[nasaul]

Solves dependabot alerts

Supersedes: #740 #739 #736 since they fail in the testing due to access permissions to secrets.

• Bumps filelock v3.20.0 -> v3.20.3
• Bumps virtualenv v20.35.3 -> v20.36.1
• Bumps setuptools v69.5.1 -> v70.0.0
• Bumps nbconvert v7.16.6 -> v7.17.0
• Bumps protobuf v6.33.0 -> v6.33.5
• Bumps setuptools v70.0.0 -> v78.1.1

[CLAassistant]

All committers have signed the CLA.

[elessar-for-github]

Changes made by this pull request:

uv.lock
[Error processing diff]

[github-actions]

Experiment Results

Experiment 1: air-passengers

Description:

variable	experiment
h	12
season_length	12
freq	MS
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	12.6793	11.0623	47.8333	76
mape	0.027	0.0232	0.0999	0.1425
mse	213.936	199.132	2571.33	10604.2
total_time	27.8255	4.1513	0.0046	0.0035

Plot:

Experiment 2: air-passengers

Description:

variable	experiment
h	24
season_length	12
freq	MS
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	58.1031	58.4587	71.25	115.25
mape	0.1257	0.1267	0.1552	0.2358
mse	4040.21	4110.79	5928.17	18859.2
total_time	1.1875	1.7092	0.0037	0.0034

Plot:

Experiment 3: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable	experiment
h	24
season_length	24
freq	H
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	178.293	268.121	269.23	1331.02
mape	0.0234	0.0311	0.0304	0.1692
mse	121588	219457	213677	4.68961e+06
total_time	1.9491	3.0095	0.0046	0.0042

Plot:

Experiment 4: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable	experiment
h	168
season_length	24
freq	H
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	465.532	346.984	398.956	1119.26
mape	0.062	0.0437	0.0512	0.1583
mse	835120	403787	656723	3.17316e+06
total_time	2.0585	2.0239	0.0049	0.0044

Plot:

Experiment 5: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable	experiment
h	336
season_length	24
freq	H
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	558.649	459.769	602.926	1340.95
mape	0.0697	0.0566	0.0787	0.17
mse	1.22721e+06	739135	1.61572e+06	6.04619e+06
total_time	1.4971	2.028	0.005	0.0045

Plot:

[MMenchero]

Fixes alerts.