update electrolysis costs to 950 EUR/kW in 2040

fneum · fneum · commit 40675bf4c2ea · 2024-09-20T10:20:58.000+02:00
diff --git a/inputs/manual_input.csv b/inputs/manual_input.csv
@@ -363,10 +363,10 @@ geothermal,district heat-input,2020,0.8,MWh_thdh/MWh_th,2020,"Aghahosseini, Brey
 geothermal,FOM,2020,2,%/year,2020,"Aghahosseini, Breyer 2020: From hot rock to useful energy: A global estimate of enhanced geothermal systems potential, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261920312551",See Supplemental Material of source for details
 geothermal,district heat surcharge,2020,25,%,2020,Frey et al. 2022: Techno-Economic Assessment of Geothermal Resources in the Variscan Basement of the Northern Upper Rhine Graben,"If capital cost of electric generation from EGS is 100%, district heating adds additional 25%. Costs incurred by piping."
 electrolysis,investment,2020,1800,EUR/kW_e,2020,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,
-electrolysis,investment,2025,1400,EUR/kW_e,2020,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,
+electrolysis,investment,2025,1500,EUR/kW_e,2020,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,
 electrolysis,investment,2030,1100,EUR/kW_e,2020,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,
-electrolysis,investment,2040,800,EUR/kW_e,2020,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,
-electrolysis,investment,2050,600,EUR/kW_e,2020,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,
+electrolysis,investment,2040,950,EUR/kW_e,2020,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,
+electrolysis,investment,2050,800,EUR/kW_e,2020,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,
 bioethanol crops,fuel,2020,54.6434100368518,EUR/MWhth,2010,"JRC ENSPRESO ca avg for MINBIOCRP11 (Bioethanol barley, wheat, grain maize, oats, other cereals and rye), ENS_BaU_GFTM",
 bioethanol crops,fuel,2030,72.477665790641,EUR/MWhth,2010,"JRC ENSPRESO ca avg for MINBIOCRP11 (Bioethanol barley, wheat, grain maize, oats, other cereals and rye), ENS_BaU_GFTM",
 bioethanol crops,fuel,2040,75.7178710725453,EUR/MWhth,2010,"JRC ENSPRESO ca avg for MINBIOCRP11 (Bioethanol barley, wheat, grain maize, oats, other cereals and rye), ENS_BaU_GFTM",
diff --git a/outputs/costs_2025.csv b/outputs/costs_2025.csv
@@ -842,7 +842,7 @@ electrobiofuels,investment,512440.2631,EUR/kW_th,combination of BtL and electrof
 electrolysis,FOM,4.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Fixed O&M ,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency,0.5874,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Hydrogen Output,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency-heat,0.264,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:   - hereof recoverable for district heating,2020.0
-electrolysis,investment,1400.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
+electrolysis,investment,1500.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
 electrolysis,lifetime,25.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Technical lifetime,2020.0
 fuel cell,FOM,5.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Fixed O&M,2015.0
 fuel cell,c_b,1.25,50oC/100oC,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Cb coefficient,2015.0
diff --git a/outputs/costs_2035.csv b/outputs/costs_2035.csv
@@ -842,7 +842,7 @@ electrobiofuels,investment,428759.8057,EUR/kW_th,combination of BtL and electrof
 electrolysis,FOM,4.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Fixed O&M ,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency,0.6374,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Hydrogen Output,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency-heat,0.2039,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:   - hereof recoverable for district heating,2020.0
-electrolysis,investment,950.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
+electrolysis,investment,1025.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
 electrolysis,lifetime,25.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Technical lifetime,2020.0
 fuel cell,FOM,5.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Fixed O&M,2015.0
 fuel cell,c_b,1.25,50oC/100oC,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Cb coefficient,2015.0
diff --git a/outputs/costs_2040.csv b/outputs/costs_2040.csv
@@ -842,7 +842,7 @@ electrobiofuels,investment,392280.346,EUR/kW_th,combination of BtL and electrofu
 electrolysis,FOM,4.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Fixed O&M ,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency,0.6532,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Hydrogen Output,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency-heat,0.1849,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:   - hereof recoverable for district heating,2020.0
-electrolysis,investment,800.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
+electrolysis,investment,950.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
 electrolysis,lifetime,25.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Technical lifetime,2020.0
 fuel cell,FOM,5.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Fixed O&M,2015.0
 fuel cell,c_b,1.25,50oC/100oC,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Cb coefficient,2015.0
diff --git a/outputs/costs_2045.csv b/outputs/costs_2045.csv
@@ -842,7 +842,7 @@ electrobiofuels,investment,356768.6132,EUR/kW_th,combination of BtL and electrof
 electrolysis,FOM,4.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Fixed O&M ,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency,0.6763,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Hydrogen Output,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency-heat,0.1571,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:   - hereof recoverable for district heating,2020.0
-electrolysis,investment,700.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
+electrolysis,investment,875.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
 electrolysis,lifetime,25.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Technical lifetime,2020.0
 fuel cell,FOM,5.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Fixed O&M,2015.0
 fuel cell,c_b,1.25,50oC/100oC,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Cb coefficient,2015.0
diff --git a/outputs/costs_2050.csv b/outputs/costs_2050.csv
@@ -842,7 +842,7 @@ electrobiofuels,investment,322224.6071,EUR/kW_th,combination of BtL and electrof
 electrolysis,FOM,4.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Fixed O&M ,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency,0.6994,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Hydrogen Output,2020.0
 electrolysis,efficiency-heat,0.1294,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:   - hereof recoverable for district heating,2020.0
-electrolysis,investment,600.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
+electrolysis,investment,800.0,EUR/kW_e,private communications; IEA https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9e0c82d4-06d2-496b-9542-f184ba803645/TheRoleofE-fuelsinDecarbonisingTransport.pdf,,2020.0
 electrolysis,lifetime,25.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Technical lifetime,2020.0
 fuel cell,FOM,5.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Fixed O&M,2015.0
 fuel cell,c_b,1.25,50oC/100oC,"Danish Energy Agency, technology_data_for_el_and_dh.xlsx",12 LT-PEMFC CHP:  Cb coefficient,2015.0
