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This PR adds a new episode to the mid-stage tutorial, explaining how delays are adjusted when estimating $R_t$ via the renewal equation.

It summarizes the approach we previously used to convey this content to synchronous participants during classes, but now documents it in written form for the benefit of a wider audience.

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github-actions bot commented Sep 19, 2025

Thank you!

Thank you for your pull request 😃

🤖 This automated message can help you check the rendered files in your submission for clarity. If you have any questions, please feel free to open an issue in {sandpaper}.

If you have files that automatically render output (e.g. R Markdown), then you should check for the following:

  • 🎯 correct output
  • 🖼️ correct figures
  • ❓ new warnings
  • ‼️ new errors

Rendered Changes

🔍 Inspect the changes: https://github.com/epiverse-trace/tutorials-middle/compare/md-outputs..md-outputs-PR-221

The following changes were observed in the rendered markdown documents:

 config.yaml (gone)                                 |   86 -
 create-forecast.md                                 |   50 +-
 delays-functions.md                                |   16 +-
 ...create-forecast-rendered-unnamed-chunk-10-1.png |  Bin 9592 -> 9585 bytes
 ...create-forecast-rendered-unnamed-chunk-12-1.png |  Bin 8724 -> 8446 bytes
 fig/create-forecast-rendered-unnamed-chunk-4-1.png |  Bin 46536 -> 46414 bytes
 ...elays-functions-rendered-unnamed-chunk-16-1.png |  Bin 48844 -> 49174 bytes
 ...elays-functions-rendered-unnamed-chunk-17-1.png |  Bin 49855 -> 49954 bytes
 ...elays-functions-rendered-unnamed-chunk-20-1.png |  Bin 51093 -> 49374 bytes
 ...elays-functions-rendered-unnamed-chunk-21-1.png |  Bin 29927 -> 29620 bytes
 ...l-equation-rendered-unnamed-chunk-1-1.png (new) |  Bin 0 -> 4866 bytes
 ...l-equation-rendered-unnamed-chunk-2-1.png (new) |  Bin 0 -> 20347 bytes
 ...l-equation-rendered-unnamed-chunk-3-1.png (new) |  Bin 0 -> 9976 bytes
 ...l-equation-rendered-unnamed-chunk-4-1.png (new) |  Bin 0 -> 14523 bytes
 ...l-equation-rendered-unnamed-chunk-5-1.png (new) |  Bin 0 -> 23822 bytes
 ...ransmissibility-rendered-unnamed-chunk-10-1.png |  Bin 72588 -> 63611 bytes
 ...ransmissibility-rendered-unnamed-chunk-17-1.png |  Bin 28973 -> 28900 bytes
 ...ransmissibility-rendered-unnamed-chunk-18-1.png |  Bin 31854 -> 32443 bytes
 fig/severity-static-rendered-unnamed-chunk-2-1.png |  Bin 6672 -> 6577 bytes
 ...severity-static-rendered-unnamed-chunk-21-1.png |  Bin 24187 -> 24151 bytes
 ...reading-estimate-rendered-unnamed-chunk-4-1.png |  Bin 6402587 -> 6533045 bytes
 ...simulate-rendered-unnamed-chunk-20-1.png (gone) |  Bin 22495 -> 0 bytes
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 intro-renewal-equation.md (new)                    |  168 +
 md5sum.txt                                         |   35 +-
 network.html                                       |    6 +-
 quantify-transmissibility.md                       |   43 +-
 renv.lock (gone)                                   | 6154 --------------------
 webshot.png                                        |  Bin 6402587 -> 6533045 bytes
 32 files changed, 241 insertions(+), 6317 deletions(-)
What does this mean?

If you have source files that require output and figures to be generated (e.g. R Markdown), then it is important to make sure the generated figures and output are reproducible.

This output provides a way for you to inspect the output in a diff-friendly manner so that it's easy to see the changes that occur due to new software versions or randomisation.

⏱️ Updated at 2025-09-25 12:43:22 +0000

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@avallecam avallecam left a comment

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Hi @Degoot-AM thanks for contributing this episode. I just added some title rename, a solution and minor edit at the end. This contains the key messages we showed in deliveries, also some extra features from the comparison.

Please, double check the solution I drafted to the challenge you proposed.

Lastly, What do you think about moving this to the More Resources tab? As the Intro to Math Modelling of ID in tutorials-late? We can link this episode in the quantifying transmissibility episode as a callout: "How does {EpiNow2} work?" similar to what we have in cfr episode, and would also replace.

Happy to read your thoughts.

github-actions bot pushed a commit that referenced this pull request Sep 24, 2025
github-actions bot pushed a commit that referenced this pull request Sep 25, 2025
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Hi @Degoot-AM thanks for contributing this episode. I just added some title rename, a solution and minor edit at the end. This contains the key messages we showed in deliveries, also some extra features from the comparison.

Please, double check the solution I drafted to the challenge you proposed.

Lastly, What do you think about moving this to the More Resources tab? As the Intro to Math Modelling of ID in tutorials-late? We can link this episode in the quantifying transmissibility episode as a callout: "How does {EpiNow2} work?" similar to what we have in cfr episode, and would also replace.

Happy to read your thoughts.

Thanks @avallecam for your suggestions — I’ve accepted them.
I’m happy to relocate the episode to another location, as long as it remains easily accessible to learners.

@Degoot-AM Degoot-AM requested a review from avallecam September 25, 2025 08:48
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avallecam commented Sep 25, 2025

I’m happy to relocate the episode to another location, as long as it remains easily accessible to learners.

Nice! I'll proceed with two steps locally:

  • change location to More Resources
  • add callout box to the quantify transmission

github-actions bot pushed a commit that referenced this pull request Sep 25, 2025
@avallecam avallecam force-pushed the theoretical_background branch from 1bce6ed to 61bafe2 Compare September 25, 2025 12:23
github-actions bot pushed a commit that referenced this pull request Sep 25, 2025
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now ready to merge 🚀 . any further improvements can be done in additional PRs

@avallecam avallecam merged commit c04c4bf into main Sep 25, 2025
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@avallecam avallecam deleted the theoretical_background branch September 25, 2025 13:17
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3 participants