skynet2

Pointouts system for Scona Swim Team, way overengineered

Input features - Individual

Tier 1

• Divs rank
• Divs time
• Seed time

Tier 2

• Swimmer age
• Stroke of event (Discrete)
• Distance of event
• Seed time compared to mean/median (pct?)
• Divs time compared to mean/median (pct?)

Tier 3

• Types of strokes swimmer is on overall
• Number of relays swimmer does

Notes on model performance

• Baseline: divsRank to finalRank:
  • Simple lin reg: 1.6394
  • Robust lin reg: 1.6348
• Linear regression, robust linear with divsRank, seconds improved per meter: 1.639
• Lin reg simple with divsRank, z-scored seconds improved per meter: 1.5273
• Guassian process squared exp GPR: 1.5174