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Pilot Study Simulator

User facing companies run a lot of pilot study to gauge interests in a product before spending resources to build it.

Typically, a pilot study is a preliminary experiment (or set of such experiments) to test the feasibility, effectiveness, and potential challenges of a new idea, product, process, or policy before making the next decisions about it.

At a very basic level, I think of a pilot as: given a product idea, will a user adopt the product if we actually build it?

To answer this question, an important component is user responses. E.g., What do potential users of this product feel about it?

Typically, companies gauge this by interviewing or surveying a representative set of users (or non-representative depending on use case). Expensive! Time-consuming! Soon redundant?

Recent research has shown that LLMs can predict user responses (if I were being obtuse, I'd say "adopt their persona").
Example, see Generative Agent Simulations of 1,000 People.

So why don't companies just use LLMs to simulate their pilot studies? Startup Idea?

Well, here is my first stab at it. I must acknowledge co-pilot for "teaching" me javascript overnight.

It is very unpolished but I'm listing out a bunch of things I'd like to improve on

  • Make parallel/batch LLM calls
  • More insights that just percentage of users who will adopt. Example, chart of which demographic will adopt?
  • Improve UX (duh)

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A pilot study simulator using personalised LLMs

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