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docs: define statistical validity budget for adaptive self improvement - #52

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docs: define statistical validity budget for adaptive self improvement#52
ruvnet wants to merge 2 commits into
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sota/statistical-validity-gate

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@ruvnet ruvnet commented Aug 29, 2026

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Architecture and reproduction plan for #50.

ADR 0004 defines a persistent statistical validity budget for adaptive Dream Machine experiments. The design separates descriptive metrics from inferential promotion claims, binds artifact and cluster units before outcome observation, preserves claim family history across nights, and explicitly prevents statistical confidence from becoming execution authority.

The reproduction protocol pins the upstream MIT licensed Tacet reference implementation at commit 8fe2761950ac2330566538aa06d04e660f62401e and requires independent reproduction plus null simulations before any runtime integration.

This PR is draft and documentation only by design. Do not reimplement the statistical mechanisms until the pinned upstream behavior and assumptions reproduce in MetaHarness.

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