SEI_Lib 0.3 Population_Cohort_Model

Population and their characteristics, together with the value and characteristics of physical assets exposed, constitute the most important sets for establishing linkages between hazard and risks from seismic events and socio-economic outcomes. The population model uses, as inputs population data, its distribution and other characteristics, at the lowest possible level of disaggregation, combined with a set of assumptions for demographic related variables (and, possibly, shocks from hypothetical seismic events) for a multi-anual population forecast, together with key population attributes (geographical, education, health, and others). A population cohort model is used, based on a system dynamics framework.

link_to_notes (this goes to etherpad)

• Assumptions

  • The regional data is in two different resolutions.
  • The Population Cohort Model will use as inputs the information from Seismic Risk & Hazard and socio economic (demographic) assumptions.
  • The Population Cohort Model will have the capacity to use inputs from other Risks & Hazards.
  • There exists a set of equations from which we can calculate time flow of population given a matrix of population seed.
  • The Population Cohort Model output is intended to be used as an input to the Macro Economy Segment Calculator.
  • The Population Cohort Model will feed back to the Risk Model. Risk analysis of repeated seismic event over a time horizon can be calculated with data from the Population Cohort Model.

• Design

The design of the component or model is described in detail here. Use complete sentences and paragraph breaks. Don't describe implementation details here.

• User stories:

  • Some user should be able to X.
  • Some user needs to be able to Y.

• Suggested Implementation

The model should integrate into OpenQuake as a set of models similar to the existing Hazard & Risk models. It should be possible to run as a sub-task in an existing openquake / RiskLib job.

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